Happy Valley · 2021-10-20
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FA FA Closed strongly TT 1.38.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 6 | 3.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | MEANINGFUL STAR Closed strongly B J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 1 | 2.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | HARMONY SPIRIT Closed strongly CP-/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 2 | 12.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | MAJESTIC VICTORY Closed strongly TT1 C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 3 | 28.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | COMPASSION SPIRIT B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 10 | 82.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | PARTERRE Led early B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 5 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | FARSHAD Closed strongly CP M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 9 | 60.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT B C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 11 | 207.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SURREALISM B L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 7 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | NABOO STAR Closed strongly B-/V2/TT C Schofield · D A Hayes | C Schofield | D A Hayes | 12 | 15.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | TOTAL POWER B H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 4 | 45.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | PIANO SOLO M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 8 | 11.0 | 12-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2021-10-20 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FA FA, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with MEANINGFUL STAR second and HARMONY SPIRIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite MEANINGFUL STAR finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MEANINGFUL STAR | 26.7% | 3.75 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | FA FA | 22.2% | 4.51 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | HARMONY SPIRIT | 10.8% | 9.27 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | PIANO SOLO | 8.6% | 11.67 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | TOTAL POWER | 5.9% | 16.98 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | SURREALISM | 5.9% | 17.01 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | MAJESTIC VICTORY | 4.5% | 22.01 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | PARTERRE | 4.4% | 22.67 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | NABOO STAR | 4.1% | 24.15 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | FARSHAD | 3.3% | 30.52 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 2.7% | 37.10 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | HEAVENLY THOUGHT | 0.9% | 105.33 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 31
PLACE
3 27
6 14.5
7 12.5
QUINELLA
6,7 42
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 54.5
3,7 51
6,7 21
FORECAST
6,7 76
TIERCE
6,7,3 380
TRIO
3,6,7 122
FIRST 4
3,4,6,7 627
QUARTET
6,7,3,4 5,824
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 14
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,11/3,6,7 3,413
8TH DOUBLE
6/6 208
6/7 41
SIX UP
6,7/1,7/2,4/5,7/4,6/6,7 829
6/7/2/7/6/6 12,680
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
7/6/6 328
7/6/7 69