Happy Valley · 2021-12-15 · 19:46
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER Closed strongly XB/TT 2.18.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 10 | 3.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | GRAND POWER Closed strongly B- M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 12 | 62.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | SMILING FACE Closed strongly SR/TT V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 3 | 38.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SKY GEM Closed strongly P2 K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 1 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | AMAZING BOY Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 6 | 4.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS Closed strongly B L Ferraris · D E Ferraris | L Ferraris | D E Ferraris | 11 | 6.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | EXALTATION Closed strongly V/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 7 | 8.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE Closed strongly A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 9 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | TAILOR MADE TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL Closed strongly B/H/XB H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 8 | 45.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | GREAT TIMES Led early B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 4 | 83.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 2 | 10.0 | 15-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2021-12-15 was Class 5 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. JOLLY FOREVER, ridden by K Teetan and trained by W Y So, won by 3/4, with GRAND POWER second and SMILING FACE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AMAZING BOY | 24.1% | 4.15 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | SKY GEM | 19.5% | 5.14 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS | 12.1% | 8.29 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER | 9.5% | 10.51 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 7.2% | 13.81 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | TAILOR MADE | 6.9% | 14.52 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | EXALTATION | 6.1% | 16.30 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 4.1% | 24.28 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | GRAND POWER | 3.9% | 25.37 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL | 2.8% | 35.76 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | SMILING FACE | 2.3% | 43.30 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | GREAT TIMES | 1.4% | 70.81 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 37
PLACE
8 15
10 149
12 84
QUINELLA
8,10 1,409
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 421
8,12 219.5
10,12 1,311
FORECAST
8,10 2,074
TIERCE
8,10,12 35,761
TRIO
8,10,12 10,816
FIRST 4
2,8,10,12 18,084
QUARTET
8,10,12,2 416,493
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
8/8 308.5
8/10 517
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 19
A3 —