Happy Valley · 2021-12-15 · 22:18
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED Closed strongly E/TT 1.40.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 6.5 | N |
| 2 | 0 | FAST PACE H H N Wong · C Fownes | H N Wong | C Fownes | 4 | 34.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | GORYTUS Closed strongly XB/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 10 | 27.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | TURIN REDSTAR Closed strongly B/TT2 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 7 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE E A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 6 | 4.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT Led early V/TT M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 2 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS Closed strongly B M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 11 | 8.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 9 | 4.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | SURREALISM B R Maia · D E Ferraris | R Maia | D E Ferraris | 8 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS H1 M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 5 | 7.7 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ B1/TT1 C Y Ho · T P Yung | C Y Ho | T P Yung | 12 | 40.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | SUPER BUDDY K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 1 | 25.0 | 7-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2021-12-15 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. INCANTO PREPARED, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by N, with FAST PACE second and GORYTUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite YOU'REMYEVERYTHING finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHEERFUL DAYS | 13.6% | 7.36 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | EXCEPTIONAL NICE | 13.6% | 7.37 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 13.4% | 7.44 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED | 12.9% | 7.74 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 12.0% | 8.34 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 6.5% | 15.29 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | GORYTUS | 5.9% | 16.93 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | FAST PACE | 5.6% | 17.72 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | CINQUANTE CINQ | 4.7% | 21.40 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPER BUDDY | 4.4% | 22.94 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | TURIN REDSTAR | 4.3% | 23.42 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | SURREALISM | 3.1% | 32.09 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 65.5
PLACE
4 71
8 21.5
11 75.5
QUINELLA
8,11 986.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 291
4,11 881
8,11 289.5
FORECAST
8,11 1,613
TIERCE
8,11,4 37,780
TRIO
4,8,11 6,540
FIRST 4
4,5,8,11 28,230
QUARTET
8,11,4,5 431,173
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 25
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
10/8 596
10/11 231.5