Happy Valley · 2021-12-15 · 20:16
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2021-12-15 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. KUNGFUMASTER PANDA, ridden by V Borges and trained by P O'Sullivan, won by HD, with NEARLY FINE second and VIVA POPCORN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.9 favourite VIVA POPCORN finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA Closed strongly B/TT 1.41.55 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · P O'Sullivan | V Borges | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 18.0 | HD |
| 2 | 1 | NEARLY FINE Closed strongly TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 2 | 14.0 | HD |
| 3 | 11 | VIVA POPCORN Closed strongly H/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 6 | 1.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN XB M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 7 | 9.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | SPEED FAY FAY B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 12 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR Closed strongly H/XB C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 4 | 5.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | SHINY ONE Closed strongly XB M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 10 | 37.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 8 | 19.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | SHENRON Led early CP1/TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 5 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | SHADOW BREAKER Closed strongly SR/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 9 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | UNIVERSAL HERO R Maia · Y S Tsui | R Maia | Y S Tsui | 11 | 151.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | FULL POWER B/XB L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 1 | 92.0 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | VIVA POPCORN | 27.7% | 3.61 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 19.8% | 5.05 | 6 |
| 3 | 9 | MANNA FROM HEAVEN | 9.1% | 11.02 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | SPEED FAY FAY | 7.8% | 12.90 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | SHADOW BREAKER | 6.9% | 14.49 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | NEARLY FINE | 6.2% | 16.01 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 4.8% | 21.05 | 1 |
| 8 | 8 | FLASH FAMOUS | 4.7% | 21.44 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | SHENRON | 3.9% | 25.35 | 9 |
| 10 | 4 | FULL POWER | 3.5% | 28.30 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | SHINY ONE | 3.5% | 28.86 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | UNIVERSAL HERO | 2.1% | 46.53 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 188
PLACE
1 34.5
11 13
12 50.5
QUINELLA
1,12 1,428
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 44
1,12 321
11,12 76.5
FORECAST
12,1 2,997
TIERCE
12,1,11 10,044
TRIO
1,11,12 651
FIRST 4
1,9,11,12 1,099
QUARTET
12,1,11,9 60,652
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
8/1 87
8/12 1,919
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 39