Sha Tin · 2022-05-15 · 13:31
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-15 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. CHEERY, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/4, with DRAGON PRIDE second and BEAUTY SPIRIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite DRAGON PRIDE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CHEERY Closed strongly B1 1.36.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 9 | 8.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 5 | DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 5 | 3.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | BEAUTY SPIRIT Led early B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 3 | 6.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | KUNG FU TEA B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 6 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | CASA LEGEND TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 2 | 5.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | FREE FOAL CP B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 8 | 5.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | BRIGHT KID Closed strongly B/XB L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 4 | 28.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | CELESTIAL WARRIOR CP/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 9.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | MR ALDAN B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 11.0 | 19-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | DRAGON PRIDE | 31.7% | 3.16 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 13.9% | 7.21 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | FREE FOAL | 11.0% | 9.09 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | CASA LEGEND | 10.8% | 9.27 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | CHEERY | 10.5% | 9.48 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | KUNG FU TEA | 10.0% | 10.01 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | CELESTIAL WARRIOR | 5.0% | 19.94 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | MR ALDAN | 4.4% | 22.69 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | BRIGHT KID | 2.7% | 36.56 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 88.5
PLACE
2 17
3 27.5
5 16
QUINELLA
3,5 165
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 86
2,5 32.5
3,5 66
FORECAST
3,5 399
TIERCE
3,5,2 1,334
TRIO
2,3,5 184
FIRST 4
2,3,4,5 246
QUARTET
3,5,2,4 7,054
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/3 372
3/5 42.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 27