Sha Tin · 2022-05-15 · 16:37
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-15 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on WET SLOW going. TORONADO PHANTOM, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by N, with RESOLUTE second and CALL ME TEDDY third. The 3.9 favourite JAZZ ANGEL finished 9th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TORONADO PHANTOM P1/TT 1.08.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 4 | 8.4 | N |
| 2 | 11 | RESOLUTE B H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 2 | 26.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | CALL ME TEDDY TT1 C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 5 | 15.0 | N |
| 4 | 6 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 7 | 5.5 | N |
| 5 | 1 | SUNNY BOY B/TT K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 6 | 34.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | SPONTANEOUS B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 8.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | BEAUTY CHAMP XB/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 1 | 4.3 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | TRADER CP/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 3 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 9 | JAZZ ANGEL B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 8 | 3.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | FLYING BONUS P C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 11 | 42.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | HARMONY SPIRIT XB-/CP/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 10.0 | 9 |
| — | 4 | JOYFUL WIN K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 26.1% | 3.83 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | JAZZ ANGEL | 21.2% | 4.71 | 9 |
| 3 | 2 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 12.3% | 8.11 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 9.5% | 10.49 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | SPONTANEOUS | 9.0% | 11.15 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | TRADER | 5.4% | 18.44 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | HARMONY SPIRIT | 4.7% | 21.29 | 11 |
| 8 | 1 | SUNNY BOY | 4.0% | 24.93 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | RESOLUTE | 3.4% | 29.37 | 2 |
| 10 | 3 | FLYING BONUS | 2.3% | 44.10 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | CALL ME TEDDY | 2.0% | 49.14 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 84.5
PLACE
2 26
10 41.5
11 59.5
QUINELLA
2,11 1,454
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 212.5
2,11 391.5
10,11 511
FORECAST
2,11 2,070
TIERCE
2,11,10 27,232
TRIO
2,10,11 6,011
FIRST 4
2,6,10,11 6,416
QUARTET
2,11,10,6 215,874
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 21.5
A3 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
8/2 507
8/11 807.5