Sha Tin · 2022-05-15 · 16:06
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-05-15 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. SPARKY STAR, ridden by H Bentley and trained by T P Yung, won by 2-1/2, with CIRCUIT MIGHTY second and VITRALITE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite FUN N GLORY finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SPARKY STAR Closed strongly B2 1.23.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 13 | 7.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY Closed strongly TT K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 1 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | VITRALITE Closed strongly XB L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 7 | 7.9 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | PEAK TO PEAK Led early V/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 6 | 20.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | FUN N GLORY Closed strongly TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 12 | 4.1 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | MAXIMIZE HEART Closed strongly B R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 2 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | ALL RICHES CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 14 | 5.5 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | BEAUTY NOVA Closed strongly B A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 68.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | SEAWEED FORTUNE Closed strongly V/TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 3 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | PERFECT TO GREAT Closed strongly TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 8 | 18.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | SNOWALOT A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan | A Hamelin | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 22.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 14 | DIVINE ERA TT V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 11 | 51.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT SR/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 4 | 11.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | BELL OF VICTORY B C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 9 | 59.0 | 16 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FUN N GLORY | 18.0% | 5.54 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | SEAWEED FORTUNE | 16.5% | 6.05 | 9 |
| 3 | 8 | SPARKY STAR | 13.0% | 7.70 | 1 |
| 4 | 13 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT | 11.8% | 8.50 | 13 |
| 5 | 9 | ALL RICHES | 7.8% | 12.79 | 7 |
| 6 | 10 | PEAK TO PEAK | 7.2% | 13.82 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 6.6% | 15.14 | 6 |
| 8 | 14 | DIVINE ERA | 3.8% | 26.43 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 3.6% | 27.98 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | VITRALITE | 3.5% | 28.44 | 3 |
| 11 | 7 | SNOWALOT | 2.6% | 37.84 | 11 |
| 12 | 2 | BEAUTY NOVA | 2.1% | 47.09 | 8 |
| 13 | 11 | BELL OF VICTORY | 1.7% | 58.99 | 14 |
| 14 | 5 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 1.7% | 59.18 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 73.5
PLACE
4 42.5
8 23
12 24
QUINELLA
4,8 512.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 168
4,12 193.5
8,12 102
FORECAST
8,4 1,133
TIERCE
8,4,12 7,002
TRIO
4,8,12 1,493
FIRST 4
4,8,10,12 4,876
QUARTET
8,4,12,10 121,186
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,11/4,8,12 117,946
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 26
6TH DOUBLE
1/4 106
1/8 403