沙田 · 2022-05-15 · 16:06
第 7場
2022-05-15沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由H Bentley策騎、T P Yung訓練的SPARKY STAR勝出，贏出2-1/2。CIRCUIT MIGHTY獲得亞軍；VITRALITE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.1倍大熱門FUN N GLORY跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SPARKY STAR 後段發力 B2 1.23.08 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 13 | 7.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY 後段發力 TT K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 1 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | VITRALITE 後段發力 XB L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 7 | 7.9 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | PEAK TO PEAK 早段領放 V/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 6 | 20.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | FUN N GLORY 後段發力 TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 12 | 4.1 | 4 |
| 6 | 6 | MAXIMIZE HEART 後段發力 B R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 2 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | ALL RICHES CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 14 | 5.5 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | BEAUTY NOVA 後段發力 B A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 68.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | SEAWEED FORTUNE 後段發力 V/TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 3 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | PERFECT TO GREAT 後段發力 TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 8 | 18.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | SNOWALOT A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan | A Hamelin | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 22.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 14 | DIVINE ERA TT V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 11 | 51.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT SR/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 4 | 11.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | BELL OF VICTORY B C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 9 | 59.0 | 16 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FUN N GLORY | 18.0% | 5.54 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | SEAWEED FORTUNE | 16.5% | 6.05 | 9 |
| 3 | 8 | SPARKY STAR | 13.0% | 7.70 | 1 |
| 4 | 13 | COURAGEOUS KNIGHT | 11.8% | 8.50 | 13 |
| 5 | 9 | ALL RICHES | 7.8% | 12.79 | 7 |
| 6 | 10 | PEAK TO PEAK | 7.2% | 13.82 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 6.6% | 15.14 | 6 |
| 8 | 14 | DIVINE ERA | 3.8% | 26.43 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 3.6% | 27.98 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | VITRALITE | 3.5% | 28.44 | 3 |
| 11 | 7 | SNOWALOT | 2.6% | 37.84 | 11 |
| 12 | 2 | BEAUTY NOVA | 2.1% | 47.09 | 8 |
| 13 | 11 | BELL OF VICTORY | 1.7% | 58.99 | 14 |
| 14 | 5 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 1.7% | 59.18 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 73.5
PLACE
4 42.5
8 23
12 24
QUINELLA
4,8 512.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 168
4,12 193.5
8,12 102
FORECAST
8,4 1,133
TIERCE
8,4,12 7,002
TRIO
4,8,12 1,493
FIRST 4
4,8,10,12 4,876
QUARTET
8,4,12,10 121,186
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,11/4,8,12 117,946
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 26
6TH DOUBLE
1/4 106
1/8 403