沙田 · 2022-05-15 · 15:36
第 6場
2022-05-15沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由R Maia策騎、D J Whyte訓練的ACE ONE勝出，贏出1。AUGUST MOON獲得亞軍；BRAVE DREAMS獲得季軍。頭馬以4.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ACE ONE B/TT 1.10.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Maia · D J Whyte | R Maia | D J Whyte | 1 | 4.4 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | AUGUST MOON BO K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 7.7 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | BRAVE DREAMS H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 4.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | BEAUTY TYCOON V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 3 | 5.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | RIVER VIEWS L Currie · T P Yung | L Currie | T P Yung | 2 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | FIGHTING STAR B/XB/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 5 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | EASY LIFE TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 6 | 140.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | WOODFIRE BRO TT Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 7 | 6.2 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | FORTUNE CARRIER B2/TT2 C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 9 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | MIRACLES A Hamelin · K L Man | A Hamelin | K L Man | 11 | 159.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | SUNSHINE LEGENDARY CP1/H1 B Shinn · R Gibson | B Shinn | R Gibson | 12 | 18.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | BELL OF HAPPINESS B1 C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 4 | 104.0 | 11-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | AUGUST MOON | 20.3% | 4.93 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | BRAVE DREAMS | 15.1% | 6.64 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | WOODFIRE BRO | 14.5% | 6.90 | 8 |
| 4 | 8 | SUNSHINE LEGENDARY | 12.8% | 7.79 | 11 |
| 5 | 9 | FIGHTING STAR | 9.6% | 10.42 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | ACE ONE | 7.2% | 13.89 | 1 |
| 7 | 2 | RIVER VIEWS | 6.6% | 15.21 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | BEAUTY TYCOON | 4.4% | 22.98 | 4 |
| 9 | 12 | FORTUNE CARRIER | 4.3% | 23.29 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | BELL OF HAPPINESS | 3.8% | 26.19 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | EASY LIFE | 0.9% | 116.58 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | MIRACLES | 0.6% | 161.21 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 44
PLACE
1 19.5
3 26.5
11 16.5
QUINELLA
1,3 182.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 66
1,11 43.5
3,11 64
FORECAST
1,3 570
TIERCE
1,3,11 1,410
TRIO
1,3,11 221
FIRST 4
1,3,5,11 349
QUARTET
1,3,11,5 8,675
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 20.5
5TH DOUBLE
11/1 421
11/3 130
TRIPLE TRIO
1,4,8/5,11,12/1,3,11 2,100,493
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,4,8/5,11,12/Any Combination 5,346