沙田 · 2022-05-15 · 17:48
第 10場
2022-05-15沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由A Badel策騎、J Size訓練的BRILLIANT WAY勝出，贏出3/4。REVE PARISIEN獲得亞軍；REGENCY BO BO獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門SOLID IMPACT跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | BRILLIANT WAY H/P/TT 1.10.30 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 6.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | REVE PARISIEN K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 5.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | REGENCY BO BO B-/TT R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 2 | 53.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | SOLID IMPACT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 9 | 2.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | WAR WEAPON H/P/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 4 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | BEAUTY MISSION SR-/CP1 L Currie · F C Lor | L Currie | F C Lor | 12 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | TEXAS MOON B-/P2 H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 11 | 32.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | FLYING SEASON B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 7 | 7.6 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | LUCKY QUALITY V K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 3 | 44.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | JOLLY RULER H/TT L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 5 | 37.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | KAI XIN DRAGON TT V Borges · D A Hayes | V Borges | D A Hayes | 8 | 18.0 | 9-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FLYING SEASON | 20.5% | 4.88 | 9 |
| 2 | 4 | SOLID IMPACT | 19.6% | 5.09 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | BEAUTY MISSION | 16.5% | 6.05 | 7 |
| 4 | 5 | LUCKY QUALITY | 9.6% | 10.41 | 10 |
| 5 | 1 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 8.5% | 11.79 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | BRILLIANT WAY | 6.3% | 15.76 | 1 |
| 7 | 12 | KAI XIN DRAGON | 5.6% | 17.99 | 12 |
| 8 | 8 | REVE PARISIEN | 3.7% | 26.99 | 2 |
| 9 | 3 | TEXAS MOON | 3.0% | 33.42 | 8 |
| 10 | 11 | WAR WEAPON | 2.6% | 38.66 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | JOLLY RULER | 2.3% | 43.34 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | REGENCY BO BO | 1.8% | 56.86 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 65.5
PLACE
6 97
8 23
9 23
QUINELLA
8,9 298.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 498
6,9 392.5
8,9 100
FORECAST
9,8 514
TIERCE
9,8,6 17,435
TRIO
6,8,9 3,042
FIRST 4
4,6,8,9 1,924
QUARTET
9,8,6,4 63,578
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 24.5
A2 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,9,10/6,8,9 1,715,209
9TH DOUBLE
9/8 47
9/9 227
SIX UP
5,11/1,3/4,8/2,11/3,9/8,9 68,594
11/1/8/2/9/9 1,094,360
2 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
2/9/8 523
2/9/9 2,066