沙田 · 2022-05-15 · 13:01
第 1場
2022-05-15沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由L Hewitson策騎、D J Whyte訓練的UNIVERSAL CROWN勝出，贏出2。VECTOR獲得亞軍；TELECOM MISSILE獲得季軍。3.7倍大熱門TELECOM MISSILE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | UNIVERSAL CROWN B 1.11.09 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 6.5 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | VECTOR B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 1 | 5.7 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | TELECOM MISSILE B/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 2 | 3.7 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | G ONE EXCELLENT V1/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 9 | 8.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | ONE STEP AHEAD B-/CP1 K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 8 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | ALLOY STAR B Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 7 | 7.4 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | LITTLE PLAYER B L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 5 | 19.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | SUPER FLAMES TT H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 10 | 63.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | HOLYSHOWCASING C Wong · R Gibson | C Wong | R Gibson | 3 | 56.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | TAKINGUFURTHER V C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 11 | 12.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 2 | VICTORIA GENERAL XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 12 | 56.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | TOWARDS SUCCESS TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 6 | 9.3 | 18-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | ALLOY STAR | 23.2% | 4.30 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | TELECOM MISSILE | 12.1% | 8.25 | 3 |
| 3 | 11 | VECTOR | 11.3% | 8.84 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | TOWARDS SUCCESS | 11.1% | 8.98 | 12 |
| 5 | 3 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 9.1% | 10.95 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | LITTLE PLAYER | 7.9% | 12.73 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | G ONE EXCELLENT | 7.5% | 13.34 | 4 |
| 8 | 9 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 7.2% | 13.87 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 4.8% | 20.64 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | HOLYSHOWCASING | 2.4% | 42.41 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | VICTORIA GENERAL | 1.9% | 53.72 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | SUPER FLAMES | 1.4% | 69.98 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 65.5
PLACE
3 22
5 15.5
11 19
QUINELLA
3,11 215
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 44.5
3,11 74
5,11 49.5
FORECAST
3,11 471
TIERCE
3,11,5 1,391
TRIO
3,5,11 180
FIRST 4
3,4,5,11 376
QUARTET
3,11,5,4 10,316
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 24
A3 —
A1 —