Happy Valley · 2022-06-28 · 19:16
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B 1.49.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 2 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | GRAND POWER Closed strongly B C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 5 | 6.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | SMILING FACE Closed strongly SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 7.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR Closed strongly E/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 8 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION H/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 1 | 5.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GREAT TIMES Closed strongly B J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 11 | 9.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE Closed strongly K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | WAH MAY LUCK B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 7 | 6.9 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | LAPUTA PC/TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 9 | 21.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | A A AGILITY Led early B/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 12 | 66.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | ANONYMA XB/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 3 | 13.0 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | SMART COUSIN Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 10 | 8.5 | 15 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-28 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. OWNERS' STAR, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with GRAND POWER second and SMILING FACE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.5 favourite LOYAL AMBITION finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION | 17.4% | 5.75 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | GREAT TIMES | 13.0% | 7.70 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 12.3% | 8.16 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR | 11.3% | 8.81 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | SMILING FACE | 11.0% | 9.08 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | WAH MAY LUCK | 9.0% | 11.11 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | SMART COUSIN | 7.1% | 14.13 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | DIAMOND STAR | 6.5% | 15.48 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | GRAND POWER | 4.5% | 22.47 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | LAPUTA | 3.3% | 30.24 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | ANONYMA | 3.0% | 33.44 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | A A AGILITY | 1.7% | 58.96 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 108
PLACE
5 25.5
6 23.5
7 30
QUINELLA
5,7 533
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 82
5,7 167
6,7 131
FORECAST
7,5 1,148
TIERCE
7,5,6 6,917
TRIO
5,6,7 1,116
FIRST 4
1,5,6,7 2,091
QUARTET
7,5,6,1 54,915
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 28