Happy Valley · 2022-06-28 · 21:16
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-28 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BABY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K H Ting, won by 1/2, with E LEGEND second and MORE THAN ENOUGH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite SUNNY DELIGHT finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BABY Closed strongly B 1.39.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 1 | 6.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | E LEGEND Closed strongly Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 6 | 5.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | MORE THAN ENOUGH Led early B/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 11 | 33.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | JOLLY HONOUR Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 5 | 7.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | SUNNY DELIGHT B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 10 | 3.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | HAPPY ANGEL B B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 2 | 9.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 4 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | KUNG FU TEA B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 7 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | CITY LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 30.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 8 | PERFECT TO GREAT SR/TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 3 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | UNIVERSAL GO GO B/TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 9 | 44.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | E LEGEND | 25.0% | 4.01 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | BABY | 16.2% | 6.17 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 14.2% | 7.03 | 5 |
| 4 | 8 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 10.9% | 9.14 | 10 |
| 5 | 11 | JOLLY HONOUR | 8.3% | 12.10 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | DRAGON PRIDE | 7.4% | 13.59 | 7 |
| 7 | 6 | KUNG FU TEA | 6.0% | 16.77 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | HAPPY ANGEL | 4.3% | 22.99 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | CITY LEGEND | 3.1% | 32.52 | 9 |
| 10 | 2 | UNIVERSAL GO GO | 2.9% | 34.45 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 1.7% | 57.51 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 68.5
PLACE
1 18.5
4 88
5 22.5
QUINELLA
1,5 171.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 374.5
1,5 70.5
4,5 456
FORECAST
5,1 328
TIERCE
5,1,4 8,088
TRIO
1,4,5 2,331
FIRST 4
1,4,5,11 3,481
QUARTET
5,1,4,11 88,854
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 24
A2 —
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
8/1 36.5
8/5 220.5