Happy Valley · 2022-06-28 · 21:46
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-28 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. YOU'REMYEVERYTHING, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1/2, with STORMTROUPER second and ATOMIC FORCE third. The 4.0 favourite MAGIC PHOENIX finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING TT 1.09.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 5 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | STORMTROUPER E1/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 3 | 5.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | ATOMIC FORCE TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 6 | 25.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | MAGIC PHOENIX TT B Shinn · K H Ting | B Shinn | K H Ting | 2 | 4.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | SKY FOREVER B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SUPER DOBBIN B A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 1 | 7.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V/TT M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 4 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | NEVER TOO SOON TT Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 12 | 6.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL CP/XB H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 10 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | DROPS OF GOD J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 7.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | TRADER CP/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 11 | 53.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 4 | JAZZ CLUB K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 9 | 48.0 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | NEVER TOO SOON | 19.4% | 5.16 | 8 |
| 2 | 6 | MAGIC PHOENIX | 13.8% | 7.25 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 13.3% | 7.49 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | SKY FOREVER | 10.4% | 9.59 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | DROPS OF GOD | 10.3% | 9.73 | 10 |
| 6 | 11 | STORMTROUPER | 7.4% | 13.43 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | ATOMIC FORCE | 5.5% | 18.11 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | SUPER DOBBIN | 4.7% | 21.06 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 4.3% | 23.39 | 9 |
| 10 | 4 | JAZZ CLUB | 4.1% | 24.18 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | WOOD ON FIRE | 3.5% | 28.93 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | TRADER | 3.2% | 31.47 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 111
PLACE
1 70.5
3 34.5
11 17.5
QUINELLA
3,11 357.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 377.5
1,11 242.5
3,11 113
FORECAST
3,11 692
TIERCE
3,11,1 14,337
TRIO
1,3,11 2,591
FIRST 4
1,3,6,11 2,155
QUARTET
3,11,1,6 67,432
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,5/1,3,11 860,317
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 26.5
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
5/3 729
5/11 48.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,6,8/1,4,5/Any Combination 5,258