Happy Valley · 2022-06-28 · 22:18
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-28 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MY ECSTATIC, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by 2-1/4, with STORM LEGEND second and NIMBLE NIMBUS third. The winner led throughout. The 3.0 favourite NIMBLE NIMBUS finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MY ECSTATIC Wire to wire TT 1.39.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 6.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | STORM LEGEND Closed strongly B- J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | NIMBLE NIMBUS Closed strongly V/TT L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 1 | 3.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | WIN WIN FIGHTER Closed strongly Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 10 | 6.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | AMAZING ONE PLUS Closed strongly P/XB/TT B Shinn · T P Yung | B Shinn | T P Yung | 2 | 8.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | ESCAPE ROUTE Closed strongly H K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 12 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | THE ANOMALY V H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 11 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | COPARTNER AMBITION CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 4 | 9.3 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | COPARTNER FIONN Closed strongly M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 32.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | VICTORY SCHOLARS L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 7 | 39.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 2 | ROMAN TURBO B C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 6 | 29.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | RED MAJESTY B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 9 | 42.0 | 13-1/2 |
| — | 0 | READY PLAYER ONE L Ferraris · C W Chang | L Ferraris | C W Chang | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 19.2% | 5.21 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | MY ECSTATIC | 13.1% | 7.65 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 12.9% | 7.73 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | STORM LEGEND | 11.6% | 8.64 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 9.9% | 10.08 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 8.2% | 12.16 | 6 |
| 7 | 1 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 5.8% | 17.39 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | THE ANOMALY | 4.7% | 21.11 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 4.5% | 22.41 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | COPARTNER FIONN | 4.3% | 23.26 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | ROMAN TURBO | 3.1% | 32.19 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | RED MAJESTY | 2.7% | 36.81 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 62
PLACE
5 19.5
6 14
7 33
QUINELLA
5,7 408.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 30
5,7 132
6,7 65
FORECAST
5,7 858
TIERCE
5,7,6 2,397
TRIO
5,6,7 268
FIRST 4
5,6,7,10 442
QUARTET
5,7,6,10 13,033
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 24.5
A2 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
3/5 523
3/7 174