Happy Valley · 2022-06-28 · 19:46
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-06-28 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. CORDYCEPS ONE, ridden by R Maia and trained by K W Lui, won by 1, with JADE PHOENIX second and OUR CREED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite OUR CREED finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | CORDYCEPS ONE Closed strongly B/H 1.39.42 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 5 | 5.3 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | JADE PHOENIX CP/TT B Shinn · F C Lor | B Shinn | F C Lor | 6 | 29.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | OUR CREED Led early V Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 1 | 4.6 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | AMIGOS GIGGLE Closed strongly A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 9 | 5.5 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | HAPPY LAND B2/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 9.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | FARSHAD CP H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND B L Currie · D J Hall | L Currie | D J Hall | 4 | 4.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | RATTAN KINGDOM Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 11 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | SMOOTHIES B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 8 | 21.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA B/TT M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 10 | 16.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | OUR CLASS ACT H1/P1 K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 7 | 41.0 | 12-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | OUR CREED | 26.4% | 3.78 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | CORDYCEPS ONE | 11.9% | 8.37 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND | 10.7% | 9.33 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | JADE PHOENIX | 8.1% | 12.34 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | AMIGOS GIGGLE | 7.7% | 12.94 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | SMOOTHIES | 7.4% | 13.59 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | HAPPY LAND | 6.9% | 14.41 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 6.9% | 14.42 | 10 |
| 9 | 9 | RATTAN KINGDOM | 6.0% | 16.77 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | FARSHAD | 4.4% | 22.88 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | OUR CLASS ACT | 3.5% | 28.55 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 53.5
PLACE
1 80
7 17.5
11 18
QUINELLA
1,11 848.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 221.5
1,11 243
7,11 47.5
FORECAST
11,1 1,159
TIERCE
11,1,7 6,650
TRIO
1,7,11 998
FIRST 4
1,7,10,11 1,555
QUARTET
11,1,7,10 45,656
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
7/1 509
7/11 776.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 25
A3 —