Happy Valley · 2022-07-13 · 19:17
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-07-13 was Class 5 over 2200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. AMAZING BOY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C W Chang, won by 1-1/4, with VICTORIOUS SEEKER second and SKY GEM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | AMAZING BOY Closed strongly CP-/TT 2.18.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C W Chang | J Moreira | C W Chang | 1 | 3.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER Closed strongly B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 6.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | SKY GEM Closed strongly K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 7 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | FORTUNE TRIPLE Closed strongly K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 9.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE Closed strongly B-/V1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 10 | 29.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | CIRCUIT ELITE CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 12 | 8.9 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | CROWN AVENUE Led early A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 5 | 46.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | TURF BRILLIANT Closed strongly B M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 8 | 7.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | GREAT TIMES Closed strongly B L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 9 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | DIAMOND STAR E/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 3 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | GO BALLISTIC SR/TT L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 11 | 18.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | ANONYMA XB/TT V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 4 | 54.0 | 5-3/4 |
| — | 0 | JOLLY FOREVER K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | AMAZING BOY | 21.6% | 4.63 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | DIAMOND STAR | 15.9% | 6.28 | 10 |
| 3 | 1 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER | 12.0% | 8.31 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | GREAT TIMES | 9.9% | 10.08 | 9 |
| 5 | 9 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 9.3% | 10.71 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 8.2% | 12.26 | 6 |
| 7 | 8 | TURF BRILLIANT | 6.5% | 15.50 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | SKY GEM | 6.3% | 15.93 | 3 |
| 9 | 5 | GO BALLISTIC | 4.4% | 22.81 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | ANONYMA | 2.2% | 44.94 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | CROWN AVENUE | 2.0% | 48.94 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | WEALTHY EMPLOYEE | 1.7% | 59.64 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 31
PLACE
1 20.5
6 46.5
7 15
QUINELLA
1,7 105
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 174.5
1,7 44
6,7 95
FORECAST
7,1 205
TIERCE
7,1,6 1,865
TRIO
1,6,7 438
FIRST 4
1,6,7,9 724
QUARTET
7,1,6,9 11,747
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
9/1 58
9/7 273
3 PICK 1
A1 20.5
A3 —
A2 —