Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2022-07-13 · 19:17

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD TO FIRM 2200m Course B 12 runners

Result

Official · 2.18.56
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 AMAZING BOY Closed strongly CP-/TT 2.18.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C W Chang 1 3.1 1-1/4
2 0 VICTORIOUS SEEKER Closed strongly B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan 2 6.0 1-1/4
3 0 SKY GEM Closed strongly K H Chan · C Fownes 7 15.0 1-3/4
4 0 FORTUNE TRIPLE Closed strongly K C Leung · Y S Tsui 6 9.2 2-1/2
5 0 WEALTHY EMPLOYEE Closed strongly B-/V1 M L Yeung · K H Ting 10 29.0 2-3/4
6 0 CIRCUIT ELITE CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 12 8.9 2-3/4
7 0 CROWN AVENUE Led early A Hamelin · C H Yip 5 46.0 3-1/4
8 0 TURF BRILLIANT Closed strongly B M Chadwick · W Y So 8 7.8 3-1/4
9 0 GREAT TIMES Closed strongly B L Hewitson · D J Hall 9 11.0 3-1/4
10 0 DIAMOND STAR E/TT A Badel · J Size 3 10.0 3-3/4
11 0 GO BALLISTIC SR/TT L Ferraris · R Gibson 11 18.0 5-1/4
12 0 ANONYMA XB/TT V Borges · A T Millard 4 54.0 5-3/4
— 0 JOLLY FOREVER K Teetan · W Y So — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-07-13 was Class 5 over 2200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. AMAZING BOY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C W Chang, won by 1-1/4, with VICTORIOUS SEEKER second and SKY GEM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. AMAZING BOY—2. VICTORIOUS SEEKER+1.25L3. SKY GEM+1.75L4. FORTUNE TRIPLE+2.5L5. WEALTHY EMPLOYEE+2.75L6. CIRCUIT ELITE+2.75L7. CROWN AVENUE+3.25L8. TURF BRILLIANT+3.25L9. GREAT TIMES+3.25L10. DIAMOND STAR+3.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2021-22
The model's top pick AMAZING BOY (21.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 AMAZING BOY 21.6% 4.63 1
2 0 DIAMOND STAR 15.9% 6.28 10
3 0 VICTORIOUS SEEKER 12.0% 8.31 2
4 0 GREAT TIMES 9.9% 10.08 9
5 0 FORTUNE TRIPLE 9.3% 10.71 4
6 0 CIRCUIT ELITE 8.2% 12.26 6
7 0 TURF BRILLIANT 6.5% 15.50 8
8 0 SKY GEM 6.3% 15.93 3
9 0 GO BALLISTIC 4.4% 22.81 11
10 0 ANONYMA 2.2% 44.94 12
11 0 CROWN AVENUE 2.0% 48.94 7
12 0 WEALTHY EMPLOYEE 1.7% 59.64 5
AMAZING BOY — wonDIAMOND STARVICTORIOUS SEEKERGREAT TIMESFORTUNE TRIPLECIRCUIT ELITETURF BRILLIANTSKY GEMGO BALLISTICANONYMACROWN AVENUEWEALTHY EMPLOYEE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 31

PLACE

1 20.5

6 46.5

7 15

QUINELLA

1,7 105

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 174.5

1,7 44

6,7 95

FORECAST

7,1 205

TIERCE

7,1,6 1,865

TRIO

1,6,7 438

FIRST 4

1,6,7,9 724

QUARTET

7,1,6,9 11,747

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

9/1 58

9/7 273

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 20.5

A3 —