Happy Valley · 2022-07-13 · 22:54
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PACKING AWARD Closed strongly H 1.39.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 3 | 4.8 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 1 | 18.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | SAVAQUIN Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 17.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | TELECOM FIGHTERS K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 9 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | SUNNY STAR Closed strongly R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 5 | 28.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 7 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | PRIME MINISTER Closed strongly TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 11 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GORYTUS Closed strongly XB/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 6.1 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SIGHT SPIRIT L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 2 | 7.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | HINCHINLOVE Led early B/TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 8 | 50.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | MY ECSTATIC TT C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 6 | 6.2 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT V/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 4 | 8.5 | 14-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2022-07-13 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PACKING AWARD, ridden by M F Poon and trained by L Ho, won by SH, with BERLIN TANGO second and SAVAQUIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GORYTUS | 15.0% | 6.68 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | MY ECSTATIC | 13.3% | 7.54 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | SIGHT SPIRIT | 11.3% | 8.87 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 11.1% | 9.00 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | PACKING AWARD | 9.6% | 10.40 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | SAVAQUIN | 9.0% | 11.14 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 6.5% | 15.38 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | PRIME MINISTER | 6.4% | 15.66 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | BERLIN TANGO | 6.3% | 15.88 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | SUNNY STAR | 5.3% | 18.82 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | MALDIVES | 3.8% | 26.13 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | HINCHINLOVE | 2.5% | 40.45 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 48.5
PLACE
2 50.5
3 53
8 18.5
QUINELLA
3,8 545
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 400
2,8 161.5
3,8 180
FORECAST
8,3 994
TIERCE
8,3,2 14,049
TRIO
2,3,8 3,499
FIRST 4
1,2,3,8 5,566
QUARTET
8,3,2,1 110,524
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 28.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,11/2,3,8 62,807
8TH DOUBLE
11/3 344
11/8 687
SIX UP
8,11/8,11,12/1,10/6,8/6,11/3,8 53,116
8/12/10/6/11/8 3,498,460
1 [J Moreira] —
TREBLE
6/11/3 4,949
6/11/8 16,486