Happy Valley · 2022-07-13 · 21:46
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-07-13 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SUPER OASIS, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by A S Cruz, won by HD, with COMET SPLENDIDO second and ESCAPE ROUTE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 5.6 favourite E LEGEND finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SUPER OASIS Closed strongly B/H/TT 1.48.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 11 | 17.0 | HD |
| 2 | 8 | COMET SPLENDIDO Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 3 | 6.5 | HD |
| 3 | 2 | ESCAPE ROUTE Closed strongly H K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 7 | 7.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | E LEGEND Led early J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 6 | 5.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | WORLD FAMOUS B L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 9 | 7.5 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | LOOKING GREAT Closed strongly CP1/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | PEGASUS GENERAL Closed strongly V K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 4 | 32.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | NEARLY FINE Closed strongly TT L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 8 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | SURREALISM B A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 5 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | WIN WIN FIGHTER M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 2 | 5.7 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | SUPER BUDDY B V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 10 | 62.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | NORDIC SKY SR/XB A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 1 | 10.0 | 20-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | E LEGEND | 27.8% | 3.60 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 12.6% | 7.91 | 10 |
| 3 | 10 | SURREALISM | 9.5% | 10.48 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | LOOKING GREAT | 8.4% | 11.88 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | ESCAPE ROUTE | 8.1% | 12.32 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | WORLD FAMOUS | 7.5% | 13.28 | 5 |
| 7 | 8 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 7.2% | 13.85 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | NEARLY FINE | 5.1% | 19.63 | 8 |
| 9 | 4 | NORDIC SKY | 4.7% | 21.49 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 4.1% | 24.60 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | SUPER OASIS | 4.1% | 24.66 | 1 |
| 12 | 12 | SUPER BUDDY | 0.9% | 114.85 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 171
PLACE
2 26.5
6 51
8 28.5
QUINELLA
6,8 576
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 219.5
2,8 112.5
6,8 177.5
FORECAST
6,8 1,564
TIERCE
6,8,2 11,535
TRIO
2,6,8 1,345
FIRST 4
2,6,8,11 2,254
QUARTET
6,8,2,11 66,858
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,10/2,6,8 396,651
3 PICK 1
A3 17.5
A2 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
10/6 1,420.5
10/8 138
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
10,12>8,11/1,2,10/Any Combination 46,918