Happy Valley · 2022-07-13 · 20:46
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2022-07-13 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. UNITED ENDEAVORS, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by L Ho, won by 1/2, with AMIGOS GIGGLE second and JOLLY HONOUR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite AMIGOS GIGGLE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | UNITED ENDEAVORS Closed strongly H 1.39.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 6 | 35.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | AMIGOS GIGGLE Closed strongly J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 3.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | JOLLY HONOUR Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 2 | 5.1 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | ROYAL CAMPBELL Led early V L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 4 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | BLISSFUL STAR Closed strongly V/TT Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 10 | 4.8 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | GO FOR TEA K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 5.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | NOBLE STEED Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | MORE THAN ENOUGH B/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 7 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | KYRUS UNICORN BO-/VO1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 3 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | NOWITZKI B1/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 98.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | MARADO B M F Poon · P O'Sullivan | M F Poon | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 24.0 | 14-1/2 |
| — | 8 | TELECOM CHEETAH A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GO FOR TEA | 36.0% | 2.78 | 6 |
| 2 | 11 | AMIGOS GIGGLE | 16.0% | 6.26 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | BLISSFUL STAR | 13.0% | 7.66 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | ROYAL CAMPBELL | 9.8% | 10.22 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | KYRUS UNICORN | 8.6% | 11.59 | 9 |
| 6 | 10 | JOLLY HONOUR | 5.5% | 18.14 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | NOBLE STEED | 3.2% | 30.77 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 3.1% | 32.73 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | MARADO | 3.0% | 33.41 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 1.1% | 90.81 | 1 |
| 11 | 5 | NOWITZKI | 0.6% | 154.57 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 355.5
PLACE
10 15.5
11 16
12 86
QUINELLA
11,12 620.5
QUINELLA PLACE
10,11 36
10,12 301.5
11,12 196
FORECAST
12,11 2,294
TIERCE
12,11,10 9,634
TRIO
10,11,12 887
FIRST 4
6,10,11,12 2,359
QUARTET
12,11,10,6 96,988
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
8,10,11/10,12>8,11 248,052
3 PICK 1
A3 38
A2 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
8/8,11 37
8/12 1,862