跑馬地 · 2022-07-13 · 20:46
第 5場
2022-07-13跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M L Yeung策騎、L Ho訓練的UNITED ENDEAVORS勝出，贏出1/2。AMIGOS GIGGLE獲得亞軍；JOLLY HONOUR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.3倍大熱門AMIGOS GIGGLE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | UNITED ENDEAVORS 後段發力 H 1.39.86 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 6 | 35.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | AMIGOS GIGGLE 後段發力 J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 3.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | JOLLY HONOUR 後段發力 B/TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 2 | 5.1 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | ROYAL CAMPBELL 早段領放 V L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 4 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | BLISSFUL STAR 後段發力 V/TT Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 10 | 4.8 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | GO FOR TEA K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 5.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | NOBLE STEED 後段發力 B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | MORE THAN ENOUGH B/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 7 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | KYRUS UNICORN BO-/VO1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 3 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | NOWITZKI B1/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 98.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | MARADO B M F Poon · P O'Sullivan | M F Poon | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 24.0 | 14-1/2 |
| — | 8 | TELECOM CHEETAH A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GO FOR TEA | 36.0% | 2.78 | 6 |
| 2 | 11 | AMIGOS GIGGLE | 16.0% | 6.26 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | BLISSFUL STAR | 13.0% | 7.66 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | ROYAL CAMPBELL | 9.8% | 10.22 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | KYRUS UNICORN | 8.6% | 11.59 | 9 |
| 6 | 10 | JOLLY HONOUR | 5.5% | 18.14 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | NOBLE STEED | 3.2% | 30.77 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 3.1% | 32.73 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | MARADO | 3.0% | 33.41 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 1.1% | 90.81 | 1 |
| 11 | 5 | NOWITZKI | 0.6% | 154.57 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 355.5
PLACE
10 15.5
11 16
12 86
QUINELLA
11,12 620.5
QUINELLA PLACE
10,11 36
10,12 301.5
11,12 196
FORECAST
12,11 2,294
TIERCE
12,11,10 9,634
TRIO
10,11,12 887
FIRST 4
6,10,11,12 2,359
QUARTET
12,11,10,6 96,988
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
8,10,11/10,12>8,11 248,052
3 PICK 1
A3 38
A2 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
8/8,11 37
8/12 1,862