跑馬地 · 2022-07-13 · 20:16
第 4場
2022-07-13跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、C Fownes訓練的SUGAR SUGAR勝出，贏出2。TOUCH FAITH獲得亞軍；TAKE WHAT YOU NEED獲得季軍。3.5倍大熱門TRIPLE TRIPLE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUGAR SUGAR B/TT 1.09.69 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 8 | 5.5 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | TOUCH FAITH A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 26.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED SR/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 21.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | TRIPLE TRIPLE CP/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 4 | 3.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | BINGO BINGO B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 3 | 4.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 5 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | BLISSFUL LIFE TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 10 | 51.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | AUGUST MOON BO K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 7.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | DRAGON KINGDOM K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 9 | 12.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | HAPPILY FRIENDS V C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 2 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 12 | 52.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | AMBITIOUS HEART B/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 11 | 52.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUGAR SUGAR | 19.5% | 5.12 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | BINGO BINGO | 18.4% | 5.44 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | AUGUST MOON | 15.3% | 6.55 | 8 |
| 4 | 2 | TRIPLE TRIPLE | 15.1% | 6.61 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 7.8% | 12.86 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | TOUCH FAITH | 5.9% | 16.81 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 4.1% | 24.48 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | DRAGON KINGDOM | 3.9% | 25.70 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 3.7% | 27.21 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | AMBITIOUS HEART | 3.3% | 30.26 | 12 |
| 11 | 6 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 1.9% | 51.45 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | BLISSFUL LIFE | 1.1% | 92.76 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 55.5
PLACE
8 20
10 50
11 61.5
QUINELLA
8,11 697.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 151
8,11 225.5
10,11 396
FORECAST
8,11 1,175
TIERCE
8,11,10 9,426
TRIO
8,10,11 3,129
FIRST 4
2,8,10,11 2,569
QUARTET
8,11,10,2 61,585
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 21.5
3RD DOUBLE
3/8 947
3/11 480