跑馬地 · 2022-07-13 · 18:46
第 1場
2022-07-13跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由L Ferraris策騎、R Gibson訓練的CARRY THE DIAMOND勝出，贏出1/2。SPLIT OF A SECOND獲得亞軍；GOLD GOLD BABY獲得季軍。4.6倍大熱門SUNNY AND GOLD跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | CARRY THE DIAMOND PC 0.56.84 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 1 | 6.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | SPLIT OF A SECOND CP C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 8 | 30.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | GOLD GOLD BABY B-/TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 6 | 61.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | DAY DAY RICH B/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 7 | 8.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | RAGING BLAZE TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | FARM BUMPER V1 K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 9 | 21.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | HARRIER JET B M F Poon · P O'Sullivan | M F Poon | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | SUNNY AND GOLD TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 2 | 4.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN V C L Chau · L Ho | C L Chau | L Ho | 4 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | WHISKEY NEAT B2/H2/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 3 | 5.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | EUROMISSILE B/H/XB M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 11 | 62.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | U W BROTHER M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 5 | 5.4 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUNNY AND GOLD | 24.8% | 4.03 | 8 |
| 2 | 9 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 14.4% | 6.95 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | WHISKEY NEAT | 9.6% | 10.42 | 10 |
| 4 | 12 | RAGING BLAZE | 9.6% | 10.45 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | DAY DAY RICH | 9.4% | 10.60 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | U W BROTHER | 8.7% | 11.46 | 12 |
| 7 | 10 | FARM BUMPER | 5.9% | 16.90 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 | SPLIT OF A SECOND | 5.7% | 17.46 | 2 |
| 9 | 2 | HARRIER JET | 4.6% | 21.68 | 7 |
| 10 | 1 | CHUNGHWA JINGSHEN | 2.8% | 35.59 | 9 |
| 11 | 4 | EUROMISSILE | 2.6% | 38.56 | 11 |
| 12 | 3 | GOLD GOLD BABY | 1.8% | 54.60 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 60.5
PLACE
3 138
9 18
11 74
QUINELLA
9,11 1,021
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 476
3,11 1,682.5
9,11 257.5
FORECAST
9,11 1,581
TIERCE
9,11,3 71,864
TRIO
3,9,11 14,164
FIRST 4
3,8,9,11 22,001
QUARTET
9,11,3,8 401,619
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 24.5
A2 —
A1 —