跑馬地 · 2022-07-13 · 22:18
第 8場
2022-07-13跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由L Hewitson策騎、D J Whyte訓練的OUR LUCKY GLORY勝出，贏出1-3/4。EXCELLENT PEERS獲得亞軍；YO BEAUTY獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門YO BEAUTY跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | OUR LUCKY GLORY SR 1.09.65 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | EXCELLENT PEERS H/XB J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 2 | 4.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | YO BEAUTY CP/H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 6 | 2.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | PING HAI GALAXY A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 6.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | EXUBERANT B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 11 | 9.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 9 | 54.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | WIND N GRASS TT C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 1 | 9.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER TT- C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 12 | 94.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | MODEST GENTLEMAN H1/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 3 | 50.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | MERIDIAN GENIUS L Currie · A T Millard | L Currie | A T Millard | 7 | 74.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | STORMTROUPER E/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 4 | 8.6 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | TRADER CP/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 8 | 64.0 | 11-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | EXCELLENT PEERS | 34.8% | 2.87 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | YO BEAUTY | 15.5% | 6.43 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | STORMTROUPER | 13.3% | 7.50 | 11 |
| 4 | 1 | PING HAI GALAXY | 10.9% | 9.18 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 7.4% | 13.49 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | WIND N GRASS | 4.9% | 20.42 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | EXUBERANT | 4.8% | 20.92 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | GOODLUCK GOODLUCK | 3.2% | 31.62 | 6 |
| 9 | 2 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 2.9% | 34.24 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | TRADER | 1.1% | 91.16 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER | 0.7% | 137.40 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 0.4% | 230.27 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 115.5
PLACE
4 14
6 17.5
11 33
QUINELLA
6,11 274.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 28
4,11 64
6,11 80
FORECAST
11,6 659
TIERCE
11,6,4 1,945
TRIO
4,6,11 216
FIRST 4
1,4,6,11 273
QUARTET
11,6,4,1 8,772
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 37.5
7TH DOUBLE
6/6 197.5
6/11 2,827.5