Happy Valley · 2022-07-13 · 19:46
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-07-13 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FABULOUS EIGHT, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with VAMOS second and YELLOWFIN third. The 3.2 favourite YELLOWFIN finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | FABULOUS EIGHT B/TT 0.57.10 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 10 | 13.0 | N |
| 2 | 8 | VAMOS H- Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 6 | 5.2 | N |
| 3 | 5 | YELLOWFIN J Moreira · K W Lui | J Moreira | K W Lui | 1 | 3.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | SERGEANT PEPPER K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 5.7 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | WINS ALL TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 9 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | AMAZING INNOVATOR XB1/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 11 | 25.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | NEXTMODEL TT H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 2 | 6.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | CIRCUIT SEVEN B/H/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 5 | 32.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | GLORIFIED FIRE CP1 V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 3 | 42.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | UNITED WE STAND B/TT K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | EASY LIFE CP/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 7 | 82.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | HAPPY FOREVER XB/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 12 | 80.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 0 | KOWLOON EAST STAR · K H Ting | — | K H Ting | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | YELLOWFIN | 21.5% | 4.66 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | UNITED WE STAND | 19.7% | 5.08 | 10 |
| 3 | 8 | VAMOS | 12.3% | 8.11 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 11.0% | 9.09 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 10.1% | 9.86 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | NEXTMODEL | 6.5% | 15.44 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | WINS ALL | 5.9% | 16.96 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 | AMAZING INNOVATOR | 5.1% | 19.75 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | GLORIFIED FIRE | 2.5% | 40.23 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | HAPPY FOREVER | 2.3% | 43.62 | 12 |
| 11 | 2 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 2.3% | 43.69 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | EASY LIFE | 0.8% | 119.00 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 131
PLACE
3 34.5
5 13.5
8 18
QUINELLA
3,8 315
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 82
3,8 100
5,8 35.5
FORECAST
3,8 748
TIERCE
3,8,5 3,523
TRIO
3,5,8 340
FIRST 4
1,3,5,8 262
QUARTET
3,8,5,1 10,880
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
7/3 535.5
7/8 34
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 36
A2 —