Happy Valley · 2022-09-14 · 20:16
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-09-14 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. VALIANT ELEGANCE, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by 2-1/4, with TRADER second and SUPER AXIOM third. The 3.7 favourite TRADER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | VALIANT ELEGANCE B/TT 0.56.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 5.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | TRADER CP/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 2 | 3.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | SUPER AXIOM H/P/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 5.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | FLYING DRAGON C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 5 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | AWESOME TREASURE B-/TT- M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 10 | 8.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | LUCKY QUALITY V K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 9 | 28.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | SUPER VINCE XB1/TT1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 3 | 6.1 | 5 |
| 9 | 1 | ELON E/P A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 16.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | WILD WEST WING V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 4 | 17.0 | 8-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SUPER VINCE | 22.7% | 4.41 | 8 |
| 2 | 4 | FLYING DRAGON | 13.8% | 7.25 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | VALIANT ELEGANCE | 13.5% | 7.41 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER AXIOM | 13.3% | 7.53 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | ELON | 9.7% | 10.29 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 7.3% | 13.69 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | AWESOME TREASURE | 6.2% | 16.07 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | WILD WEST WING | 5.9% | 16.84 | 10 |
| 9 | 3 | LUCKY QUALITY | 3.8% | 26.05 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | TRADER | 3.8% | 26.66 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 54.5
PLACE
2 19
5 22.5
9 15
QUINELLA
2,9 108
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 57
2,9 41.5
5,9 50
FORECAST
2,9 288
TIERCE
2,9,5 1,108
TRIO
2,5,9 175
FIRST 4
2,4,5,9 462
QUARTET
2,9,5,4 11,398
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
4/2 247.5
4/9 28
3 PICK 1
A1 22
A3 —
A2 —