Happy Valley · 2022-09-14 · 22:18
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NEARLY FINE Closed strongly TT 1.39.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 4.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | PACKING FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 3 | 21.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 7 | 4.4 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 4 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | ZONE D Closed strongly H/P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 8 | 8.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | VIVA HUNTER Led early Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 10 | 7.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | WORLD FAMOUS B V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 5 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | ABOVE Closed strongly B/TT S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 9 | 36.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL B/TT C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 2 | 23.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | RED MAJESTY Closed strongly B/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 11 | 42.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | LOYAL BABY TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 12 | 15.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | NOTHING NEW H/P/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 6 | 7.6 | 9 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-09-14 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. NEARLY FINE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by 1/2, with PACKING FAMOUS second and COMET SPLENDIDO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 12.6% | 7.94 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 12.3% | 8.16 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | VIVA HUNTER | 11.0% | 9.13 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | NOTHING NEW | 9.8% | 10.17 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | LOYAL BABY | 9.8% | 10.18 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | ZONE D | 9.5% | 10.56 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | NEARLY FINE | 9.3% | 10.72 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | WORLD FAMOUS | 6.3% | 15.90 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL | 6.3% | 15.97 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | ABOVE | 5.4% | 18.41 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | PACKING FAMOUS | 4.7% | 21.50 | 2 |
| 12 | 0 | RED MAJESTY | 3.1% | 31.99 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 41.5
PLACE
8 17
10 60.5
11 17
QUINELLA
10,11 404
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 198.5
8,11 44.5
10,11 143
FORECAST
11,10 762
TIERCE
11,10,8 3,915
TRIO
8,10,11 636
FIRST 4
3,8,10,11 1,598
QUARTET
11,10,8,3 33,183
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 21.5
6TH DOUBLE
12/10 256.5
12/11 302.5