Happy Valley · 2023-01-18 · 19:16
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY Closed strongly V 1.41.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 9.4 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | SMILING FACE Closed strongly B/SR2/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 18.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER Closed strongly B K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 7 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER Closed strongly B/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 2 | 2.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | CONCERTO Closed strongly XB/TT S De Sousa · K H Ting | S De Sousa | K H Ting | 3 | 4.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | DAZZLING FELLOW B/XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 5 | 7.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HANG'S CHOICE Led early B/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 12 | 51.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SPLENDID STAR V- M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 1 | 31.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | SHENRON PC-/XB/V1 C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 11 | 23.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | TSUEN WAN GLORY H/TT L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 8 | 26.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 10 | 31.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BLUSTITCH B/TT A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 4 | 34.0 | 16 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2023-01-18 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. DAILY BEAUTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by SH, with SMILING FACE second and GLORIOUS LOVER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite FORTUNE MASTER finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER | 28.3% | 3.54 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | CONCERTO | 14.5% | 6.88 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY | 13.1% | 7.64 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | DAZZLING FELLOW | 12.6% | 7.93 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | SMILING FACE | 7.4% | 13.50 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | HANG'S CHOICE | 4.4% | 22.67 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR | 4.1% | 24.16 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 3.9% | 25.54 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | SHENRON | 3.7% | 27.05 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | TSUEN WAN GLORY | 3.0% | 33.65 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | BLUSTITCH | 2.5% | 40.17 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | SPLENDID STAR | 2.5% | 40.35 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 94
PLACE
4 47
5 24
12 38.5
QUINELLA
5,12 547.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 154
4,12 269.5
5,12 146
FORECAST
5,12 867
TIERCE
5,12,4 9,519
TRIO
4,5,12 1,966
FIRST 4
4,5,9,12 1,019
QUARTET
5,12,4,9 33,393
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 18.5
A2 —
A3 —