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Happy Valley · 2023-01-18 · 22:18

Race 7

Class 3 GOOD 1650m Course C 10 runners

Result

Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
2 0 JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly B-/H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 4 3.1 SH
3 0 MASTER TORNADO Led early XB1/TT1 A Badel · W Y So 1 5.8 N
4 0 ZONE D Closed strongly H/P/TT Z Purton · J Size 2 7.3 1-1/2
5 0 HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly TT K Teetan · L Ho 8 6.8 2-1/4
7 0 AMAZING ONE PLUS XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung 6 15.0 2-3/4
8 0 SILVER HAMMER Closed strongly A Hamelin · R Gibson 10 77.0 2-3/4
9 0 DYNAMIC SPIRIT H1/TT H Bowman · C S Shum 7 6.6 3-3/4
10 0 THE RUNNER V M L Yeung · K H Ting 9 38.0 4-1/2
11 0 POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly B S De Sousa · P F Yiu 12 17.0 5
12 0 GALLANT CROWN B/TT M F Poon · A T Millard 5 49.0 9-1/2
— 0 RISING FROM ASHES Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui — 13.0 SH
— 0 SAMARKAND H/XB1/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng — 31.0 2-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2023-01-18 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. JUMBO LEGEND, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by SH, with MASTER TORNADO second and ZONE D third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
2. JUMBO LEGEND+0.1L3. MASTER TORNADO+0.05L4. ZONE D+1.5L5. HAPPY DAILY+2.25L7. AMAZING ONE PLUS+2.75L8. SILVER HAMMER+2.75L9. DYNAMIC SPIRIT+3.75L10. THE RUNNER+4.5L11. POWERFUL WINGS+5L12. GALLANT CROWN+9.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 ZONE D 23.3% 4.29 4
2 0 JUMBO LEGEND 23.1% 4.32 2
3 0 DYNAMIC SPIRIT 11.0% 9.12 9
4 0 HAPPY DAILY 7.3% 13.71 5
5 0 AMAZING ONE PLUS 7.1% 14.06 7
6 0 POWERFUL WINGS 6.3% 15.80 11
7 0 RISING FROM ASHES 6.0% 16.63 —
8 0 MASTER TORNADO 5.7% 17.55 3
9 0 THE RUNNER 3.3% 29.97 10
10 0 GALLANT CROWN 3.1% 31.78 12
11 0 SAMARKAND 2.8% 36.01 —
12 0 SILVER HAMMER 0.8% 118.98 8
ZONE DJUMBO LEGENDDYNAMIC SPIRITHAPPY DAILYAMAZING ONE PLUSPOWERFUL WINGSRISING FROM ASHESMASTER TORNADOTHE RUNNERGALLANT CROWNSAMARKANDSILVER HAMMER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 135

PLACE

2 38

9 14

11 19

QUINELLA

2,9 280

QUINELLA PLACE

2,9 91

2,11 139.5

9,11 40

FORECAST

2,9 642

TIERCE

2,9,11 3,808

TRIO

2,9,11 570

FIRST 4

2,3,9,11 629

QUARTET

2,9,11,3 21,605

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 35

A1 —

A2 —

6TH DOUBLE

4/2 376

4/9 15.5