Happy Valley · 2023-01-18 · 22:18
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2023-01-18 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. RISING FROM ASHES, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with JUMBO LEGEND second and MASTER TORNADO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite JUMBO LEGEND finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | RISING FROM ASHES Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 11 | 13.0 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly B-/H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 3.1 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | MASTER TORNADO Led early XB1/TT1 A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 1 | 5.8 | N |
| 4 | 3 | ZONE D Closed strongly H/P/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 7.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 8 | 6.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | SAMARKAND H/XB1/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 3 | 31.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | AMAZING ONE PLUS XB/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | SILVER HAMMER Closed strongly A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 10 | 77.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | DYNAMIC SPIRIT H1/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 7 | 6.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | THE RUNNER V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 9 | 38.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly B S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 12 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 4 | GALLANT CROWN B/TT M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 5 | 49.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ZONE D | 23.3% | 4.29 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | JUMBO LEGEND | 23.1% | 4.32 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | DYNAMIC SPIRIT | 11.0% | 9.12 | 9 |
| 4 | 6 | HAPPY DAILY | 7.3% | 13.71 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 7.1% | 14.06 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | POWERFUL WINGS | 6.3% | 15.80 | 11 |
| 7 | 2 | RISING FROM ASHES | 6.0% | 16.63 | 1 |
| 8 | 11 | MASTER TORNADO | 5.7% | 17.55 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | THE RUNNER | 3.3% | 29.97 | 10 |
| 10 | 4 | GALLANT CROWN | 3.1% | 31.78 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | SAMARKAND | 2.8% | 36.01 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | SILVER HAMMER | 0.8% | 118.98 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 135
PLACE
2 38
9 14
11 19
QUINELLA
2,9 280
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 91
2,11 139.5
9,11 40
FORECAST
2,9 642
TIERCE
2,9,11 3,808
TRIO
2,9,11 570
FIRST 4
2,3,9,11 629
QUARTET
2,9,11,3 21,605
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 35
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
4/2 376
4/9 15.5