Happy Valley · 2023-01-18 · 20:16
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KOWLOON GREAT Closed strongly CP/TT 2.17.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 7 | 5.1 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY ANGEL Led early B A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 1 | 8.8 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | VINCY Closed strongly K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 4 | 8.8 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | SUNNY BABY Closed strongly M F Poon · D A Hayes | M F Poon | D A Hayes | 8 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 12 | 5.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | WONDER YEARS Closed strongly B/XB/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 5 | 4.1 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 10 | 27.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BLASTOISE Closed strongly L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 11 | 32.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | FLYING MIGHTY B/TT H N Wong · D J Hall | H N Wong | D J Hall | 9 | 91.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | AMAZING BOY P-/TT Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 2 | 13.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | WINNING STEPS H/PC S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 3 | 10.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | ROBOT WARRIOR B C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 6 | 11.0 | 10-3/4 |
| — | 0 | BRIGHT KID H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-01-18 was Class 4 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. KOWLOON GREAT, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by C S Shum, won by 2, with HAPPY ANGEL second and VINCY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite WONDER YEARS finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 22.8% | 4.38 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY ANGEL | 14.9% | 6.71 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | WINNING STEPS | 11.6% | 8.59 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | VINCY | 8.9% | 11.25 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | WONDER YEARS | 8.9% | 11.29 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | SUNNY BABY | 7.2% | 13.82 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | KOWLOON GREAT | 7.2% | 13.93 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 5.4% | 18.40 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 5.3% | 18.78 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | AMAZING BOY | 5.2% | 19.24 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | BLASTOISE | 1.5% | 65.56 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | FLYING MIGHTY | 1.0% | 102.16 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 51
PLACE
4 24
5 23
6 28
QUINELLA
4,5 196.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 79.5
4,6 99
5,6 86.5
FORECAST
5,4 478
TIERCE
5,4,6 2,978
TRIO
4,5,6 639
FIRST 4
4,5,6,9 2,421
QUARTET
5,4,6,9 38,811
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
7/4 183
7/5 610
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 22.5