Happy Valley · 2023-01-18 · 19:46
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 10 | 9.2 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 5 | 4.7 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE PC/TT S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 7 | 6.2 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | OUR CREED Led early V A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 1 | 7.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | JOY MASTER Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 4 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 11 | 23.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS E/P M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 6 | 4.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | ONE STEP AHEAD Closed strongly L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 8 | 21.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | VUKAN B/XB/TT L Ferraris · J Richards | L Ferraris | J Richards | 3 | 9.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | RING BELLS B/XB/TT1 R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 2 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | ANGELS HUNTER B K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 12 | 38.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | KARUIZAWA B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 9 | 90.0 | 11-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-01-18 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. LONDON LUCKYSTAR, ridden by C L Chau and trained by K W Lui, won by 3, with JOLLY HONOUR second and MEDIC ELITE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite AMAZING NEWS finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE | 21.3% | 4.70 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS | 13.6% | 7.35 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 12.1% | 8.27 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | OUR CREED | 9.0% | 11.14 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR | 7.8% | 12.78 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | JOY MASTER | 6.9% | 14.48 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS | 6.7% | 14.83 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | ANGELS HUNTER | 6.5% | 15.35 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 6.1% | 16.33 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | RING BELLS | 5.4% | 18.44 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | VUKAN | 3.0% | 33.30 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | KARUIZAWA | 1.5% | 66.99 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 92.5
PLACE
4 22.5
7 28
9 16.5
QUINELLA
7,9 296.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 93
4,9 73.5
7,9 90
FORECAST
7,9 607
TIERCE
7,9,4 3,577
TRIO
4,7,9 534
FIRST 4
4,5,7,9 674
QUARTET
7,9,4,5 20,804
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/7 968.5
5/9 79
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,12/4,7,9 64,808
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 24.5
A1 —