Happy Valley · 2023-01-18 · 21:47
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STAR CONTACT Closed strongly CP/TT 1.41.16 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 2.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | FLYING SILVER Closed strongly CP/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 5 | 5.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER Closed strongly K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 2 | 5.9 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | VIVA POPCORN H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY WON PC A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 3 | 35.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | AI ONE Closed strongly H/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 9 | 26.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | THETA HEDGE Led early B/H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 8.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 12 | 20.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA B L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 4 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | UNITED ENDEAVORS P-/H M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 10 | 28.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | CLASSIC ARCHI B-/SR1/TT V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 6 | 118.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE V-/CP2 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 55.0 | 8 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2023-01-18 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. STAR CONTACT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 3/4, with FLYING SILVER second and YOUNG LIFE FOREVER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FLYING SILVER | 19.7% | 5.07 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | STAR CONTACT | 15.4% | 6.49 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | THETA HEDGE | 14.6% | 6.86 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | YOUNG LIFE FOREVER | 11.7% | 8.52 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | VIVA POPCORN | 10.4% | 9.63 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY WON | 9.4% | 10.60 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA | 6.0% | 16.79 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 4.1% | 24.40 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | VILLA FIONN | 3.2% | 31.53 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | AI ONE | 2.5% | 40.10 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE | 2.2% | 45.09 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | CLASSIC ARCHI | 0.8% | 122.95 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 24.5
PLACE
4 13
6 15
8 22
QUINELLA
4,6 63
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 28.5
4,8 34.5
6,8 58
FORECAST
4,6 119
TIERCE
4,6,8 487
TRIO
4,6,8 133
FIRST 4
3,4,6,8 167
QUARTET
4,6,8,3 2,551
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,10/4,6,8 25,166
5TH DOUBLE
1/4 159
1/6 40.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,10,11/1,7,10/4,6,8 3,942,950
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,10,11/1,7,10/Any Combination 42,341