Happy Valley · 2023-12-06 · 19:01
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NICE BIRDIE Closed strongly TT 1.43.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 11 | 30.0 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE PC/TT H Doyle · P C Ng | H Doyle | P C Ng | 8 | 7.6 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | HANG'S CHOICE Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 7 | 6.4 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | ONE HEART ONE Closed strongly CP/XB1/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 10 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | BROTHER PEARL L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 1 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 4 | 3.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION J McDonald · C Fownes | J McDonald | C Fownes | 5 | 7.7 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | MISTER ARM Led early H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 34.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | CHARMANDER B/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 9 | 9.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | DOUBLE SHOW P-/B2/TT T Marquand · D J Whyte | T Marquand | D J Whyte | 2 | 9.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 12 | 29.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | COMPULSORY CP/XB A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 6 | 15.0 | 11-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2023-12-06 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. NICE BIRDIE, ridden by C L Chau and trained by C S Shum, won by HD, with MEDIC ELITE second and HANG'S CHOICE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite HAPPY JAI JAI finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HAPPY JAI JAI | 17.3% | 5.79 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | DOUBLE SHOW | 16.2% | 6.16 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE | 12.1% | 8.25 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | CHARMANDER | 10.9% | 9.19 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | HANG'S CHOICE | 10.0% | 9.98 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | LOYAL AMBITION | 8.2% | 12.19 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | COMPULSORY | 7.6% | 13.18 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | BROTHER PEARL | 4.6% | 21.58 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | NICE BIRDIE | 4.1% | 24.15 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | ONE HEART ONE | 3.8% | 26.07 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | CIRCUIT ELITE | 3.1% | 32.25 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | MISTER ARM | 2.0% | 50.92 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 307.5
PLACE
4 81
8 28
10 22.5
QUINELLA
4,8 1,330
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 374
4,10 305
8,10 109
FORECAST
4,8 3,413
TIERCE
4,8,10 21,422
TRIO
4,8,10 2,465
FIRST 4
4,5,8,10 4,785
QUARTET
4,8,10,5 159,228
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/4 3,153.5
1/8 180.5