Happy Valley · 2023-12-06 · 19:31
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SIMPLY MAVERICK Closed strongly 1.40.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 5 | 4.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE Closed strongly B/XB K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 2 | 4.2 | 4-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | TURIN WARRIOR Closed strongly B/XB Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 12 | 4.7 | 5-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · W Y So | B Avdulla | W Y So | 6 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | LOOKING COOL Closed strongly CP M Barzalona · F C Lor | M Barzalona | F C Lor | 9 | 17.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly V C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 28.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | CHATEAU A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 11 | 19.0 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | SUPER BABY Led early B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 24.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | ROYAL PRIDE TT- J McDonald · C Fownes | J McDonald | C Fownes | 7 | 6.1 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | AMAZING BOY TT T Marquand · C W Chang | T Marquand | C W Chang | 1 | 9.8 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 10 | 25.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | MERCHANT PRINCE B/TT K C Leung · J Richards | K C Leung | J Richards | 3 | 81.0 | 12-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2023-12-06 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SIMPLY MAVERICK, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by P F Yiu, won by 4-3/4, with FEARLESS FIRE second and TURIN WARRIOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite FEARLESS FIRE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AMAZING BOY | 17.2% | 5.80 | 10 |
| 2 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE | 17.0% | 5.89 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | TURIN WARRIOR | 11.9% | 8.43 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPER BABY | 9.7% | 10.29 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | ROYAL PRIDE | 9.1% | 11.05 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | SIMPLY MAVERICK | 7.4% | 13.59 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | LOOKING COOL | 7.2% | 13.90 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | LEGION OF MERIT | 7.0% | 14.22 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD | 5.2% | 19.20 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | DRAGON PRIDE | 4.7% | 21.22 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | CHATEAU | 3.1% | 32.16 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | MERCHANT PRINCE | 0.5% | 182.74 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 48.5
PLACE
7 16
8 17.5
10 24.5
QUINELLA
8,10 129
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 39
7,10 54.5
8,10 50.5
FORECAST
10,8 285
TIERCE
10,8,7 1,126
TRIO
7,8,10 196
FIRST 4
7,8,9,10 679
QUARTET
10,8,7,9 12,663
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,10/7,8,10 127,434
2ND DOUBLE
4/8 361.5
4/10 1,484