Happy Valley · 2023-12-06 · 22:13
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE H/TT 1.10.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 8 | 7.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | KAHOLO ANGEL TT Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 2 | 4.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | TORONADO PHANTOM TT R King · J Size | R King | J Size | 1 | 6.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE SR J McDonald · D J Whyte | J McDonald | D J Whyte | 4 | 4.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SOLID IMPACT B B Murzabayev · D J Hall | B Murzabayev | D J Hall | 11 | 56.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SUGAR SUGAR B/TT M Barzalona · C Fownes | M Barzalona | C Fownes | 12 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | LIGHTNING BOLT TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 3 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | SOLAR PARTNER TT R Moore · P F Yiu | R Moore | P F Yiu | 5 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B T Marquand · K W Lui | T Marquand | K W Lui | 7 | 20.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL B/XB L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 6 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | SINBA CP-/B2/TT H Doyle · J Richards | H Doyle | J Richards | 10 | 18.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | BEAUTY GLORY CP/H/TT Y Kawada · A S Cruz | Y Kawada | A S Cruz | 9 | 31.0 | 8-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2023-12-06 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. TOMODACHI KOKOROE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1/2, with KAHOLO ANGEL second and TORONADO PHANTOM third. The 4.3 favourite GAMEPLAYER ELITE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 36.8% | 2.72 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 12.2% | 8.23 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 9.8% | 10.23 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SOLAR PARTNER | 8.9% | 11.29 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 5.5% | 18.29 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE | 4.8% | 20.65 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | BEAUTY GLORY | 4.8% | 20.73 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | LUCKY ARCHANGEL | 4.7% | 21.40 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | SUGAR SUGAR | 4.1% | 24.32 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | SINBA | 3.5% | 28.89 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 2.9% | 33.93 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | SOLID IMPACT | 2.1% | 47.48 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 72
PLACE
5 24.5
10 19
11 21.5
QUINELLA
5,11 208.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 82
5,11 78
10,11 56.5
FORECAST
5,11 433
TIERCE
5,11,10 2,166
TRIO
5,10,11 408
FIRST 4
5,9,10,11 226
QUARTET
5,11,10,9 7,094
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
8/5 1,191
8/11 100.5
5 [C Y Ho] —