Happy Valley · 2023-12-06 · 13:45
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2023-12-06 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SILVER SONIC, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/2, with QUANTUM PATCH second and ALL BEAUTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite QUANTUM PATCH finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SILVER SONIC Closed strongly XB 1.40.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 7 | 9.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | QUANTUM PATCH Closed strongly M Barzalona · P C Ng | M Barzalona | P C Ng | 9 | 3.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | ALL BEAUTY Closed strongly L Hewitson · F C Lor | L Hewitson | F C Lor | 4 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | SPLENDID LIVING CP/TT T Marquand · P F Yiu | T Marquand | P F Yiu | 10 | 18.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR Closed strongly TT J McDonald · C Fownes | J McDonald | C Fownes | 5 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | E LEGEND Led early B Murzabayev · K L Man | B Murzabayev | K L Man | 3 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | STAR CONTACT CP/TT R King · D A Hayes | R King | D A Hayes | 8 | 59.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | STORM LEGEND Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | IVY LEAGUE Closed strongly H/SR/XB/TT R Moore · D J Whyte | R Moore | D J Whyte | 12 | 15.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | FLYING MOJITO B/XB H Doyle · D J Hall | H Doyle | D J Hall | 1 | 7.4 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | D STAR B/TT Y Kawada · A S Cruz | Y Kawada | A S Cruz | 6 | 14.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 3 | SIXTH GENERATION CP-/H/B2/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 2 | 7.2 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FLYING MOJITO | 16.0% | 6.25 | 10 |
| 2 | 4 | QUANTUM PATCH | 12.8% | 7.81 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | D STAR | 9.9% | 10.09 | 11 |
| 4 | 3 | SIXTH GENERATION | 9.6% | 10.44 | 12 |
| 5 | 8 | SILVER SONIC | 8.2% | 12.18 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | IVY LEAGUE | 8.0% | 12.44 | 9 |
| 7 | 7 | E LEGEND | 7.8% | 12.79 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 6.8% | 14.68 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | ALL BEAUTY | 6.3% | 15.93 | 3 |
| 10 | 1 | SPLENDID LIVING | 5.5% | 18.14 | 4 |
| 11 | 12 | STAR CONTACT | 4.6% | 21.93 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | STORM LEGEND | 4.5% | 22.35 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 92.5
PLACE
4 15.5
6 35.5
8 35.5
QUINELLA
4,8 207.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 85.5
4,8 82.5
6,8 204
FORECAST
8,4 491
TIERCE
8,4,6 5,141
TRIO
4,6,8 774
FIRST 4
1,4,6,8 2,370
QUARTET
8,4,6,1 54,393
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
6,9,12/4,6,8 124,205
6TH DOUBLE
6/4 49.5
6/8 902
TRIPLE TRIO
4,5,11/6,9,12/4,6,8 1,570,982
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,5,11/6,9,12/Any Combination 2,067