Happy Valley · 2023-12-06 · 20:41
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | M UNICORN Closed strongly H/P/TT 1.41.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Moore · C Fownes | R Moore | C Fownes | 4 | 2.6 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | RED HARE KING Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 3 | 6.3 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | SURE JOYFUL Closed strongly C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 2 | 3.6 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPERB MOVE Closed strongly B/TT Y Kawada · C H Yip | Y Kawada | C H Yip | 7 | 31.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTY MISSION Closed strongly SR/V/TT B Murzabayev · F C Lor | B Murzabayev | F C Lor | 12 | 50.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | SNOWALOT Closed strongly B K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 8 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | WIDE BLUE YONDER B/TT J McDonald · D A Hayes | J McDonald | D A Hayes | 11 | 48.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | DURHAM STAR Closed strongly SR/XB M Barzalona · D J Whyte | M Barzalona | D J Whyte | 5 | 14.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | TO INFINITY B/TT R King · J Richards | R King | J Richards | 6 | 27.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | TATTENHAM Led early Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 10 | 32.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | CLUB SODA H Doyle · J Size | H Doyle | J Size | 1 | 15.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | KILLER INSTINCT TT T Marquand · C Fownes | T Marquand | C Fownes | 9 | 29.0 | 8-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2023-12-06 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. M UNICORN, ridden by R Moore and trained by C Fownes, won by 1, with RED HARE KING second and SURE JOYFUL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | M UNICORN | 20.1% | 4.99 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | SURE JOYFUL | 15.5% | 6.43 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | TATTENHAM | 10.0% | 9.97 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | DURHAM STAR | 7.9% | 12.63 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | SNOWALOT | 6.8% | 14.81 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | CLUB SODA | 6.4% | 15.71 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | TO INFINITY | 6.0% | 16.69 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | BEAUTY MISSION | 6.0% | 16.80 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPERB MOVE | 5.9% | 16.93 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | RED HARE KING | 5.7% | 17.68 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | WIDE BLUE YONDER | 5.6% | 17.92 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | KILLER INSTINCT | 4.2% | 23.53 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 26.5
PLACE
4 13.5
5 17
11 16
QUINELLA
4,5 88.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 38
4,11 25
5,11 41
FORECAST
4,5 144
TIERCE
4,5,11 426
TRIO
4,5,11 87
FIRST 4
4,5,10,11 463
QUARTET
4,5,11,10 5,650
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
10/11/4 2,265
10/11/5 1,741
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,9,11/4,5,11 61,339
4TH DOUBLE
11/4 424.5
11/5 290