Sha Tin · 2024-04-03 · 16:33
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-04-03 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. SING DRAGON, ridden by K Teetan and trained by M Newnham, won by 3/4, with VICTORY MOMENTS second and CAMPIONE third. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SING DRAGON 1.07.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · M Newnham | K Teetan | M Newnham | 6 | 2.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | VICTORY MOMENTS SR/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 7 | 3.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | CAMPIONE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 27.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | SKY FOREVER B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 5 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | LIGHTNING BOLT TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 8 | 29.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | TORONADO PHANTOM P2/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | SELF IMPROVEMENT B/TT L Hewitson · K L Man | L Hewitson | K L Man | 3 | 9.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | YOUTHFUL DEAL SR/B1/TT H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 2 | 8.5 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | VIVA CHALEUR PC M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 1 | 31.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | FORTUNE WHISKEY CP-/H/P1/TT1 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 125.0 | 49-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SING DRAGON | 22.5% | 4.44 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | VICTORY MOMENTS | 19.1% | 5.24 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 16.3% | 6.13 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 11.9% | 8.39 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | YOUTHFUL DEAL | 9.4% | 10.65 | 8 |
| 6 | 4 | VIVA CHALEUR | 8.1% | 12.41 | 9 |
| 7 | 8 | SKY FOREVER | 6.3% | 15.94 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | LIGHTNING BOLT | 3.1% | 32.24 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | CAMPIONE | 2.8% | 35.31 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 0.5% | 208.87 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 20
PLACE
2 14
5 10.5
6 67.5
QUINELLA
2,5 36
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 17.5
2,6 138.5
5,6 108.5
FORECAST
5,2 68
TIERCE
5,2,6 879
TRIO
2,5,6 275
FIRST 4
2,5,6,8 810
QUARTET
5,2,6,8 11,385
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,7/2,5,6 4,812
5TH DOUBLE
4/2 32.5
4/5 211.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,7/4,5,7/2,5,6 586,686
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,7/4,5,7/Any Combination 2,276