Happy Valley · 2024-11-13 · 18:41
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | KINGLY DEMEANOR Wire to wire TT 2.16.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.8 | HD |
| 2 | 6 | FURY AND GOLD Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 9 | 10.0 | HD |
| 3 | 1 | PALACE PAL Closed strongly V Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 6 | 7.2 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | GOLDEN FAIRY C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 5 | 6.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | CHATEAU LE PECHE B M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 8 | 4.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | SUPER HONG KONG B H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 1 | 7.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | NICE BIRDIE TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 2 | 7.9 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | SPLENDID STAR Closed strongly L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 12.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | TIGER AND GOLD B Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 4 | 79.0 | 12-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2024-11-13 was Class 5 over 2200m. KINGLY DEMEANOR, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by A S Cruz, won by HD, with FURY AND GOLD second and PALACE PAL third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 3.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | NICE BIRDIE | 20.4% | 4.89 | 7 |
| 2 | 3 | CHATEAU LE PECHE | 20.1% | 4.98 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 17.1% | 5.86 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | SUPER HONG KONG | 12.2% | 8.22 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 10.1% | 9.92 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | PALACE PAL | 7.7% | 13.02 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | FURY AND GOLD | 5.5% | 18.34 | 2 |
| 8 | 9 | SPLENDID STAR | 5.3% | 18.72 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | TIGER AND GOLD | 1.7% | 59.53 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 38
PLACE
1 24
4 15.5
6 33.5
QUINELLA
4,6 224
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 56
1,6 115.5
4,6 78
FORECAST
4,6 386
TIERCE
4,6,1 2,950
TRIO
1,4,6 456
FIRST 4
1,4,6,8 660
QUARTET
4,6,1,8 14,381