Happy Valley · 2024-11-13 · 19:41
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | HAPPY DAILY Closed strongly TT 1.39.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 6 | 4.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 7 | LUCKY BANNER Led early TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 4 | 8.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | SUPER BABY B-/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 5 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | SMART CITY Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 10 | 43.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | ON THE LASH Closed strongly B/XB/TT L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 2 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | HAKKA RADIANCE CP-/B1/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 3 | 2.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | YOUTH POWER Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 9 | 5.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | HAPPY AGAIN B1 M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 8 | 54.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | SKYEY BLUE Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 12 | 130.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 9 | DARCI JOY Closed strongly B/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 11 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | MASSIVE ACTION SR/V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 1 | 24.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | THUNDERBOLTAURUS B B Thompson · D J Hall | B Thompson | D J Hall | 7 | 171.0 | 11-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-11-13 was Class 4 over 1650m. HAPPY DAILY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C H Yip, won by 1-3/4, with LUCKY BANNER second and SUPER BABY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite HAKKA RADIANCE finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HAKKA RADIANCE | 31.8% | 3.14 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 | LUCKY BANNER | 27.4% | 3.65 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | YOUTH POWER | 14.1% | 7.11 | 7 |
| 4 | 8 | SUPER BABY | 7.9% | 12.59 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | HAPPY DAILY | 5.7% | 17.50 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | DARCI JOY | 2.7% | 36.96 | 10 |
| 7 | 1 | MASSIVE ACTION | 2.7% | 37.68 | 11 |
| 8 | 3 | HAPPY AGAIN | 2.6% | 38.00 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | SMART CITY | 2.0% | 50.08 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | SKYEY BLUE | 1.6% | 63.29 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | ON THE LASH | 1.0% | 101.15 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | THUNDERBOLTAURUS B | 0.5% | 209.38 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 41
PLACE
4 15
7 22
8 29
QUINELLA
4,7 138.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 49
4,8 64
7,8 103.5
FORECAST
4,7 227
TIERCE
4,7,8 1,433
TRIO
4,7,8 345
FIRST 4
2,4,7,8 1,843
QUARTET
4,7,8,2 22,012
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,11/4,7,8 28,834
2ND DOUBLE
4/4 129.5
4/7 60.5