Happy Valley · 2024-11-13 · 12:45
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2024-11-13 was Class 4 over 1200m. STREET CONQUEROR, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by M Newnham, won by HD, with MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE second and BOWSER third. Victory came as the 4.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | STREET CONQUEROR B-/TT 1.10.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 4.6 | HD |
| 2 | 5 | MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE H1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 9.0 | HD |
| 3 | 1 | BOWSER PC/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 4 | 7.8 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | SUNNY DARLING B/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 3 | 5.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | SHINKANSEN H/SR/TT M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 5 | 5.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | ROARING BEBE CP/XB B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 7 | 4.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | HAPPY SOUL CP/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 11 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | TOGEPI CP-/B2/TT M L Yeung · W K Mo | M L Yeung | W K Mo | 8 | 27.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | KA YING POWER SR1/H2 A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 10 | 44.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | SMART LEADER PC/XB/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 12 | 43.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | DECRELOT CP/TT1 H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 2 | 137.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | REWARDING TWINKLE TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 9 | 78.0 | 10-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE | 30.2% | 3.31 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | SUNNY DARLING | 15.8% | 6.32 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | SHINKANSEN | 14.2% | 7.04 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | ROARING BEBE | 9.6% | 10.43 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | BOWSER | 9.3% | 10.76 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | STREET CONQUEROR | 7.5% | 13.26 | 1 |
| 7 | 3 | HAPPY SOUL | 4.2% | 23.99 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | SMART LEADER | 2.9% | 35.08 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | TOGEPI | 2.3% | 43.54 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | KA YING POWER | 2.0% | 49.82 | 9 |
| 11 | 4 | DECRELOT | 1.0% | 95.35 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | REWARDING TWINKLE | 1.0% | 105.13 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 46
PLACE
1 24
5 35
7 17.5
QUINELLA
5,7 294
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 129.5
1,7 71.5
5,7 98
FORECAST
7,5 536
TIERCE
7,5,1 3,022
TRIO
1,5,7 645
FIRST 4
1,2,5,7 845
QUARTET
7,5,1,2 18,914
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
4/10/5 359
4/10/7 1,426
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,10/1,5,7 11,846
4TH DOUBLE
10/5 83
10/7 408.5