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Sha Tin · 2024-12-22 · 14:18

Race 4

Class 4 1400m Course A+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.80
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 ANOTHER WORLD Closed strongly CP1 1.21.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung 2 34.0 N
2 13 LUCKY FIONN CP/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu 6 3.1 N
3 7 GALLANT EPOCH Led early B/TT M F Poon · K W Lui 12 39.0 2
4 8 EURO ROCKS Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · C H Yip 5 40.0 2-3/4
5 12 SUNDAY'S SERENADE Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · J Richards 13 8.0 3-1/4
6 1 ROMAN CROWN Closed strongly B J McDonald · P C Ng 8 13.0 4
7 11 TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR TT M Chadwick · C S Shum 4 7.0 4-1/4
8 2 SUPER GOLDI Closed strongly A Pouchin · F C Lor 3 21.0 4-1/2
9 10 SWEET SMILE Closed strongly H B Avdulla · J Size 11 12.0 4-3/4
10 14 SUPER WISE DRAGON CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 7 11.0 5-1/2
11 9 PANDA LEGEND Closed strongly TT K De Melo · W Y So 10 43.0 6-3/4
12 5 WIN SPEED B H Bowman · M Newnham 14 5.0 9
13 4 BEAUTY INVINCIBLE Closed strongly B1/TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz 1 47.0 10-3/4
14 3 DEAL COMPLETED B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting 9 45.0 16-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-22 was Class 4 over 1400m. ANOTHER WORLD, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by N, with LUCKY FIONN second and GALLANT EPOCH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite LUCKY FIONN finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ANOTHER WORLD—2. LUCKY FIONN+0.05L3. GALLANT EPOCH+2L4. EURO ROCKS+2.75L5. SUNDAY'S SERENADE+3.25L6. ROMAN CROWN+4L7. TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR+4.25L8. SUPER GOLDI+4.5L9. SWEET SMILE+4.75L10. SUPER WISE DRAGON+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick ROMAN CROWN (14.8%) finished 6th — the winner ANOTHER WORLD was rated #12. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 ROMAN CROWN 14.8% 6.76 6
2 12 SUNDAY'S SERENADE 14.1% 7.11 5
3 11 TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR 13.5% 7.39 7
4 5 WIN SPEED 13.4% 7.45 12
5 13 LUCKY FIONN 8.3% 12.04 2
6 14 SUPER WISE DRAGON 5.8% 17.36 10
7 10 SWEET SMILE 5.6% 17.85 9
8 4 BEAUTY INVINCIBLE 5.5% 18.30 13
9 2 SUPER GOLDI 4.9% 20.59 8
10 3 DEAL COMPLETED 4.2% 24.09 14
11 8 EURO ROCKS 3.6% 27.50 4
12 6 ANOTHER WORLD 2.6% 37.90 1
13 7 GALLANT EPOCH 2.0% 48.93 3
14 9 PANDA LEGEND 1.7% 57.49 11
ROMAN CROWNSUNDAY'S SERENADETRIUMPHANT WARRIORWIN SPEEDLUCKY FIONNSUPER WISE DRAGONSWEET SMILEBEAUTY INVINCIBLESUPER GOLDIDEAL COMPLETEDEURO ROCKSANOTHER WORLD — wonGALLANT EPOCHPANDA LEGEND

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 344.5

PLACE

6 76

7 110.5

13 15

QUINELLA

6,13 444

QUINELLA PLACE

6,7 773

6,13 156.5

7,13 210

FORECAST

6,13 1,172

TIERCE

6,13,7 21,626

TRIO

6,7,13 3,969

FIRST 4

6,7,8,13 29,168

QUARTET

6,13,7,8 645,680

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,6/6,7,13 1,128,018

3RD DOUBLE

1/6 2,422.5

1/13 52.5