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Sha Tin · 2024-12-22 · 06:20

Race 4

Class 4 1400m Course A+3 14 runners

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-22 was Class 4 over 1400m. ANOTHER WORLD, ridden by C L Chau and trained by T P Yung, won by N, with LUCKY FIONN second and GALLANT EPOCH third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite LUCKY FIONN finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.21.80
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 ANOTHER WORLD Closed strongly CP1 1.21.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · T P Yung 2 34.0 N
2 13 LUCKY FIONN CP/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu 6 3.1 N
3 7 GALLANT EPOCH Led early B/TT M F Poon · K W Lui 12 39.0 2
4 8 EURO ROCKS Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · C H Yip 5 40.0 2-3/4
5 12 SUNDAY'S SERENADE Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · J Richards 13 8.0 3-1/4
6 1 ROMAN CROWN Closed strongly B J McDonald · P C Ng 8 13.0 4
7 11 TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR TT M Chadwick · C S Shum 4 7.0 4-1/4
8 2 SUPER GOLDI Closed strongly A Pouchin · F C Lor 3 21.0 4-1/2
9 10 SWEET SMILE Closed strongly H B Avdulla · J Size 11 12.0 4-3/4
10 14 SUPER WISE DRAGON CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 7 11.0 5-1/2
11 9 PANDA LEGEND Closed strongly TT K De Melo · W Y So 10 43.0 6-3/4
12 5 WIN SPEED B H Bowman · M Newnham 14 5.0 9
13 4 BEAUTY INVINCIBLE Closed strongly B1/TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz 1 47.0 10-3/4
14 3 DEAL COMPLETED B/TT H Bentley · K H Ting 9 45.0 16-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ANOTHER WORLD2. LUCKY FIONN+0.05L3. GALLANT EPOCH+2L4. EURO ROCKS+2.75L5. SUNDAY'S SERENADE+3.25L6. ROMAN CROWN+4L7. TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR+4.25L8. SUPER GOLDI+4.5L9. SWEET SMILE+4.75L10. SUPER WISE DRAGON+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick ROMAN CROWN (14.8%) finished 6th — the winner ANOTHER WORLD was rated #12. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 ROMAN CROWN 14.8% 6.76 6
2 12 SUNDAY'S SERENADE 14.1% 7.11 5
3 11 TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR 13.5% 7.39 7
4 5 WIN SPEED 13.4% 7.45 12
5 13 LUCKY FIONN 8.3% 12.04 2
6 14 SUPER WISE DRAGON 5.8% 17.36 10
7 10 SWEET SMILE 5.6% 17.85 9
8 4 BEAUTY INVINCIBLE 5.5% 18.30 13
9 2 SUPER GOLDI 4.9% 20.59 8
10 3 DEAL COMPLETED 4.2% 24.09 14
11 8 EURO ROCKS 3.6% 27.50 4
12 6 ANOTHER WORLD 2.6% 37.90 1
13 7 GALLANT EPOCH 2.0% 48.93 3
14 9 PANDA LEGEND 1.7% 57.49 11
ROMAN CROWNSUNDAY'S SERENADETRIUMPHANT WARRIORWIN SPEEDLUCKY FIONNSUPER WISE DRAGONSWEET SMILEBEAUTY INVINCIBLESUPER GOLDIDEAL COMPLETEDEURO ROCKSANOTHER WORLD — wonGALLANT EPOCHPANDA LEGEND

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 344.5

PLACE

6 76

7 110.5

13 15

QUINELLA

6,13 444

QUINELLA PLACE

6,7 773

6,13 156.5

7,13 210

FORECAST

6,13 1,172

TIERCE

6,13,7 21,626

TRIO

6,7,13 3,969

FIRST 4

6,7,8,13 29,168

QUARTET

6,13,7,8 645,680

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,6/6,7,13 1,128,018

3RD DOUBLE

1/6 2,422.5

1/13 52.5