Sha Tin · 2024-12-22 · 15:41
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY Closed strongly B/TT 2.03.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 8 | 5.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 13 | SOARING BRONCO Closed strongly TT H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 4 | 7.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | SERANGOON Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 13 | 12.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | AFFORDABLE Closed strongly B/TT A Pouchin · D A Hayes | A Pouchin | D A Hayes | 12 | 22.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | CHARITY GAIN Closed strongly XB/TT J McDonald · D Eustace | J McDonald | D Eustace | 5 | 2.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | HAPPY HERO B L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 9 | 40.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | JUBILATION V M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 1 | 7.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 7 | DRAGON STAR Led early XB/V2 A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 3 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | PERFECT PAIRING B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 11 | 28.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | CONFRINGO CP-/V1/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 7 | 60.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | FOREVER FOLKS B B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 10 | 61.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 6 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET PC-/H/XB/B1/TT M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 6 | 21.0 | 7 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-22 was Class 4 over 2000m. JOYFUL PROSPERITY, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C S Shum, won by 3/4, with SOARING BRONCO second and SERANGOON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite CHARITY GAIN finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 18.4% | 5.45 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | CHARITY GAIN | 17.2% | 5.81 | 5 |
| 3 | 13 | SOARING BRONCO | 12.1% | 8.26 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | JUBILATION | 10.3% | 9.68 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | DRAGON STAR | 10.2% | 9.85 | 9 |
| 6 | 11 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 10.1% | 9.87 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | SERANGOON | 4.1% | 24.34 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | AFFORDABLE | 3.8% | 26.08 | 4 |
| 9 | 9 | PERFECT PAIRING | 3.4% | 29.47 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | HAPPY HERO | 3.1% | 32.50 | 7 |
| 11 | 4 | FOREVER FOLKS | 3.0% | 33.11 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 3.0% | 33.35 | 13 |
| 13 | 12 | CONFRINGO | 1.3% | 77.10 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 55
PLACE
2 21
3 39
13 28.5
QUINELLA
2,13 207.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 111.5
2,13 73.5
3,13 190.5
FORECAST
2,13 438
TIERCE
2,13,3 4,634
TRIO
2,3,13 994
FIRST 4
2,3,5,13 4,317
QUARTET
2,13,3,5 79,108
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,5/2,3,13 36,541
5TH DOUBLE
5/2 566.5
5/13 220
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
6,7,13/Any Combination/Any Combination 2,067