Sha Tin · 2024-12-22 · 13:16

Race 2

Class 4 1400m Course A+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.22

Pos	No.	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Draw	Weight	Odds	Margin
1	1	KA YING ATTACK Closed strongly 1.22.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D J Hall	M F Poon	D J Hall	10	133 lb	7.2	HD
2	3	ETALON OR Closed strongly B A Badel · P F Yiu	A Badel	P F Yiu	14	130 lb	3.7	HD
3	2	JUNEAU PRIDE B Avdulla · J Size	B Avdulla	J Size	13	132 lb	4.7	N
4	13	WORLD HERO Led early CP1 A Pouchin · D A Hayes	A Pouchin	D A Hayes	7	121 lb	29.0	1-3/4
5	14	CALIFORNIA MOXIE Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz	Y L Chung	A S Cruz	6	117 lb	4.8	2-1/2
6	8	SOMELOVEFROMABOVE Closed strongly XB H Bowman · C Fownes	H Bowman	C Fownes	4	129 lb	36.0	3-3/4
7	9	STORM RUNNER Closed strongly B1 K C Leung · P C Ng	K C Leung	P C Ng	5	129 lb	97.0	3-3/4
8	4	JOLLY JUMPER Closed strongly H Bentley · T P Yung	H Bentley	T P Yung	9	129 lb	100.0	4-1/4
9	12	CASHISCASH CP2/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte	C L Chau	D J Whyte	3	120 lb	51.0	4-3/4
10	6	MISSION STRIKE Closed strongly L Ferraris · M Newnham	L Ferraris	M Newnham	8	129 lb	18.0	5
11	5	LUCKY STATEMENT TT1 Z Purton · K L Man	Z Purton	K L Man	1	129 lb	6.7	5-1/4
12	11	THE AUSPICIOUS Closed strongly B-/H1 M L Yeung · Y S Tsui	M L Yeung	Y S Tsui	2	127 lb	84.0	5-1/4
13	7	PATCH OF LUCKY B/TT M Chadwick · K H Ting	M Chadwick	K H Ting	12	129 lb	74.0	7
14	10	BEAR CHAMP H A Atzeni · C W Chang	A Atzeni	C W Chang	11	127 lb	18.0	22

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-22 was Class 4 over 1400m. KA YING ATTACK, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D J Hall, won by HD, with ETALON OR second and JUNEAU PRIDE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite ETALON OR finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25

The model's top pick LUCKY STATEMENT (33.9%) finished 11th — the winner KA YING ATTACK was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.

Rank	No.	Horse	Win %	Rated price	Pos	Final odds
1	5	LUCKY STATEMENT	33.9%	2.95	11	6.7
2	2	JUNEAU PRIDE	15.9%	6.30	3	4.7
3	3	ETALON OR	11.4%	8.76	2	3.7
4	6	MISSION STRIKE	8.7%	11.44	10	18.0
5	1	KA YING ATTACK	8.6%	11.57	1	7.2
6	14	CALIFORNIA MOXIE	5.6%	17.73	5	4.8
7	10	BEAR CHAMP	3.5%	28.86	14	18.0
8	9	STORM RUNNER	3.4%	29.31	7	97.0
9	8	SOMELOVEFROMABOVE	2.7%	37.06	6	36.0
10	12	CASHISCASH	2.0%	50.23	9	51.0
11	13	WORLD HERO	1.9%	53.23	4	29.0
12	11	THE AUSPICIOUS	1.1%	91.57	12	84.0
13	4	JOLLY JUMPER	0.6%	154.83	8	100.0
14	7	PATCH OF LUCKY	0.6%	167.63	13	74.0

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 72

PLACE

1 19

2 17

3 17

QUINELLA

1,3 123

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 49

1,3 47

2,3 34

FORECAST

1,3 316

TIERCE

1,3,2 777

TRIO

1,2,3 125

FIRST 4

1,2,3,13 800

QUARTET

1,3,2,13 16,636

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

12/1 1,377

12/3 192.5

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,7,12/1,2,3 138,450

← Race 1 Race 3 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1400m Need this as data? Full results archive — US$299 All results since 1977 as data