Sha Tin · 2024-12-22 · 05:20
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2024-12-22 was Class 4 over 1400m. KA YING ATTACK, ridden by M F Poon and trained by D J Hall, won by HD, with ETALON OR second and JUNEAU PRIDE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite ETALON OR finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KA YING ATTACK Closed strongly 1.22.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 7.2 | HD |
| 2 | 3 | ETALON OR Closed strongly B A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 14 | 3.7 | HD |
| 3 | 2 | JUNEAU PRIDE B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 13 | 4.7 | N |
| 4 | 13 | WORLD HERO Led early CP1 A Pouchin · D A Hayes | A Pouchin | D A Hayes | 7 | 29.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 4.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | SOMELOVEFROMABOVE Closed strongly XB H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 4 | 36.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | STORM RUNNER Closed strongly B1 K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 5 | 97.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | JOLLY JUMPER Closed strongly H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 9 | 100.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | CASHISCASH CP2/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 51.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | MISSION STRIKE Closed strongly L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 8 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | LUCKY STATEMENT TT1 Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 1 | 6.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | THE AUSPICIOUS Closed strongly B-/H1 M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 84.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | PATCH OF LUCKY B/TT M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 12 | 74.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 10 | BEAR CHAMP H A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 11 | 18.0 | 22 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | LUCKY STATEMENT | 33.9% | 2.95 | 11 |
| 2 | 2 | JUNEAU PRIDE | 15.9% | 6.30 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | ETALON OR | 11.4% | 8.76 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | MISSION STRIKE | 8.7% | 11.44 | 10 |
| 5 | 1 | KA YING ATTACK | 8.6% | 11.57 | 1 |
| 6 | 14 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE | 5.6% | 17.73 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | BEAR CHAMP | 3.5% | 28.86 | 14 |
| 8 | 9 | STORM RUNNER | 3.4% | 29.31 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | SOMELOVEFROMABOVE | 2.7% | 37.06 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | CASHISCASH | 2.0% | 50.23 | 9 |
| 11 | 13 | WORLD HERO | 1.9% | 53.23 | 4 |
| 12 | 11 | THE AUSPICIOUS | 1.1% | 91.57 | 12 |
| 13 | 4 | JOLLY JUMPER | 0.6% | 154.83 | 8 |
| 14 | 7 | PATCH OF LUCKY | 0.6% | 167.63 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 72
PLACE
1 19
2 17
3 17
QUINELLA
1,3 123
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 49
1,3 47
2,3 34
FORECAST
1,3 316
TIERCE
1,3,2 777
TRIO
1,2,3 125
FIRST 4
1,2,3,13 800
QUARTET
1,3,2,13 16,636
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
12/1 1,377
12/3 192.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,12/1,2,3 138,450