沙田 · 2024-12-22 · 05:20
第 2場
2024-12-22沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1400米。由M F Poon策騎、D J Hall訓練的KA YING ATTACK勝出，贏出HD。ETALON OR獲得亞軍；JUNEAU PRIDE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.7倍大熱門ETALON OR跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | KA YING ATTACK 後段發力 1.22.22 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 7.2 | HD |
| 2 | 3 | ETALON OR 後段發力 B A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 14 | 3.7 | HD |
| 3 | 2 | JUNEAU PRIDE B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 13 | 4.7 | N |
| 4 | 13 | WORLD HERO 早段領放 CP1 A Pouchin · D A Hayes | A Pouchin | D A Hayes | 7 | 29.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE 後段發力 B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 4.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | SOMELOVEFROMABOVE 後段發力 XB H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 4 | 36.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | STORM RUNNER 後段發力 B1 K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 5 | 97.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | JOLLY JUMPER 後段發力 H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 9 | 100.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | CASHISCASH CP2/TT C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 51.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | MISSION STRIKE 後段發力 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 8 | 18.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | LUCKY STATEMENT TT1 Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 1 | 6.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | THE AUSPICIOUS 後段發力 B-/H1 M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 84.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | PATCH OF LUCKY B/TT M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 12 | 74.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 10 | BEAR CHAMP H A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 11 | 18.0 | 22 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | LUCKY STATEMENT | 33.9% | 2.95 | 11 |
| 2 | 2 | JUNEAU PRIDE | 15.9% | 6.30 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | ETALON OR | 11.4% | 8.76 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | MISSION STRIKE | 8.7% | 11.44 | 10 |
| 5 | 1 | KA YING ATTACK | 8.6% | 11.57 | 1 |
| 6 | 14 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE | 5.6% | 17.73 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | BEAR CHAMP | 3.5% | 28.86 | 14 |
| 8 | 9 | STORM RUNNER | 3.4% | 29.31 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | SOMELOVEFROMABOVE | 2.7% | 37.06 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | CASHISCASH | 2.0% | 50.23 | 9 |
| 11 | 13 | WORLD HERO | 1.9% | 53.23 | 4 |
| 12 | 11 | THE AUSPICIOUS | 1.1% | 91.57 | 12 |
| 13 | 4 | JOLLY JUMPER | 0.6% | 154.83 | 8 |
| 14 | 7 | PATCH OF LUCKY | 0.6% | 167.63 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 72
PLACE
1 19
2 17
3 17
QUINELLA
1,3 123
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 49
1,3 47
2,3 34
FORECAST
1,3 316
TIERCE
1,3,2 777
TRIO
1,2,3 125
FIRST 4
1,2,3,13 800
QUARTET
1,3,2,13 16,636
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
12/1 1,377
12/3 192.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,12/1,2,3 138,450