沙田 · 2024-12-22 · 08:45
第 8場
2024-12-22沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1200米。由J McDonald策騎、K W Lui訓練的DIVANO勝出，贏出HD。LIFELINE EXPRESS獲得亞軍；RIGHTEOUS ARION獲得季軍。頭馬以2.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DIVANO TT 1.09.29 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J McDonald · K W Lui | J McDonald | K W Lui | 1 | 2.4 | HD |
| 2 | 13 | LIFELINE EXPRESS E A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 3 | 3.6 | HD |
| 3 | 9 | RIGHTEOUS ARION TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | ROMANTIC SON CP- Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 5 | 8.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | VICTORY SKY XB K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 8.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | KNOW AT HEART M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 11 | 80.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | THUNDER PRINCE TT B Avdulla · W Y So | B Avdulla | W Y So | 14 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | SOLID IMPACT CP A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 8 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 14 | PHOENIX LIGHT H B Thompson · C H Yip | B Thompson | C H Yip | 9 | 78.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | BEAUTY VIVA L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 13 | 35.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | MATTERS MOST TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 6 | 22.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | TIMES TABLE P1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 4 | 119.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | HARMONY FIRE CP/TT P N Wong · D J Whyte | P N Wong | D J Whyte | 12 | 107.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | MAGNIAC CP-/V2/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 10 | 137.0 | 15 |
| — | 0 | LEGENDARY IMPACT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DIVANO | 35.2% | 2.84 | 1 |
| 2 | 13 | LIFELINE EXPRESS | 16.4% | 6.09 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | ROMANTIC SON | 11.7% | 8.52 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 9.2% | 10.89 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | VICTORY SKY | 6.2% | 16.08 | 5 |
| 6 | 7 | TIMES TABLE | 4.1% | 24.57 | 12 |
| 7 | 3 | MATTERS MOST | 3.5% | 28.87 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 | SOLID IMPACT | 2.8% | 36.00 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | KNOW AT HEART | 2.5% | 40.64 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | BEAUTY VIVA | 2.4% | 40.88 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | THUNDER PRINCE | 2.4% | 42.08 | 7 |
| 12 | 14 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 1.4% | 71.08 | 9 |
| 13 | 12 | MAGNIAC | 1.1% | 90.21 | 14 |
| 14 | 11 | HARMONY FIRE | 1.1% | 92.67 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 24
PLACE
1 13.5
9 33.5
13 14.5
QUINELLA
1,13 45
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 56.5
1,13 21
9,13 75.5
FORECAST
1,13 75
TIERCE
1,13,9 478
TRIO
1,9,13 152
FIRST 4
1,5,9,13 279
QUARTET
1,13,9,5 3,149
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,11/1,9,13 23,102
7TH DOUBLE
3/1 197
3/13 72.5