沙田 · 2024-12-22 · 07:15
第 5場
2024-12-22沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米。由C L Chau策騎、P F Yiu訓練的SKY JOY勝出，贏出1/2。SUNNY DA BEST獲得亞軍；BLAZING WIND獲得季軍。3.6倍大熱門SUNNY DA BEST跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SKY JOY 1.09.36 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 14 | 9.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | SUNNY DA BEST TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | BLAZING WIND TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 2 | 4.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | HAPPY PARK A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 5 | 6.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | MASTER TRILLION CP-/B1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | FLYING DOUBLE SR- H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 13 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | COLONEL B P N Wong · M Newnham | P N Wong | M Newnham | 1 | 28.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | NOBLE DELUXE B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 20.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 14 | CIRCUIT VICTORY M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 10 | 47.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | BLING BLING GENIUS CP1/XB1 L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 6.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 13 | MULTIBINGO H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 106.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | ICONICAL TT1 A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 6 | 141.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | COSMO LIGHT TT1 M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 9 | 75.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 12 | DECRELOT CP/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 12 | 190.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BLAZING WIND | 19.6% | 5.10 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | HAPPY PARK | 13.2% | 7.57 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | SKY JOY | 11.1% | 9.03 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | MASTER TRILLION | 9.5% | 10.51 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | FLYING DOUBLE | 9.1% | 10.96 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | NOBLE DELUXE | 8.1% | 12.27 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | SUNNY DA BEST | 6.9% | 14.56 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | BLING BLING GENIUS | 5.6% | 17.74 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | COLONEL | 5.4% | 18.41 | 7 |
| 10 | 8 | COSMO LIGHT | 4.0% | 25.23 | 13 |
| 11 | 14 | CIRCUIT VICTORY | 3.5% | 28.79 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | ICONICAL | 2.8% | 35.74 | 12 |
| 13 | 13 | MULTIBINGO | 0.6% | 156.81 | 11 |
| 14 | 12 | DECRELOT | 0.5% | 192.67 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 95
PLACE
3 17.5
4 18
5 24
QUINELLA
3,5 172
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 39.5
3,5 68
4,5 85.5
FORECAST
5,3 401
TIERCE
5,3,4 2,159
TRIO
3,4,5 330
FIRST 4
2,3,4,5 266
QUARTET
5,3,4,2 8,863
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
1/6/3 2,499
1/6/5 21,594
4TH DOUBLE
6/3 322
6/5 2,127.5