沙田 · 2024-12-22 · 09:55
第 10場
2024-12-22沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1200米。由A Hamelin策騎、J Size訓練的RAGING BLIZZARD勝出，贏出2-1/4。GORGEOUS WIN獲得亞軍；BOTTOMUPTOGETHER獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門WUNDERBAR跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | RAGING BLIZZARD P 1.08.61 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 5 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | GORGEOUS WIN TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 10 | 7.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 10 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER SR-/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 3.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | FAST NETWORK B/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 9 | 7.6 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | WUNDERBAR Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 11 | 2.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SING DRAGON L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 3 | 60.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | WONDER KIT B-/V1 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 12 | 114.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 14 | I GIVE A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 7 | 42.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 4 | 63.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | CALL ME GLORIOUS A Pouchin · K W Lui | A Pouchin | K W Lui | 13 | 27.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | GLORY ELITE H K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 6 | 23.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B P N Wong · D J Whyte | P N Wong | D J Whyte | 2 | 109.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 13 | 5 | SUPERB CAPITALIST H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 58.0 | 31-1/2 |
| — | 3 | BEAUTY CHARGE TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 14 | 59.0 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | WUNDERBAR | 33.5% | 2.98 | 5 |
| 2 | 10 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER | 13.5% | 7.41 | 3 |
| 3 | 13 | FAST NETWORK | 13.1% | 7.64 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | GORGEOUS WIN | 6.0% | 16.55 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | SING DRAGON | 6.0% | 16.59 | 6 |
| 6 | 14 | I GIVE | 4.9% | 20.30 | 8 |
| 7 | 4 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 4.8% | 20.80 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | GLORY ELITE | 4.7% | 21.36 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | CALL ME GLORIOUS | 3.0% | 33.49 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | RAGING BLIZZARD | 3.0% | 33.77 | 1 |
| 11 | 11 | WONDER KIT | 2.7% | 36.57 | 7 |
| 12 | 1 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 2.4% | 41.41 | 12 |
| 13 | 5 | SUPERB CAPITALIST | 2.3% | 43.33 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 135
PLACE
6 24.5
7 32
10 12
QUINELLA
6,7 380
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 112
6,10 44
7,10 66
FORECAST
7,6 936
TIERCE
7,6,10 3,433
TRIO
6,7,10 444
FIRST 4
6,7,10,13 652
QUARTET
7,6,10,13 21,410
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
1/3/6 98
1/3/7 1,408
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,11/6,7,10 12,251
9TH DOUBLE
3/6 52.5
3/7 464
SIX UP
3,5/2,13/3,11/1,13/3,4/6,7 8,827
5/2/3/1/3/7 259,107
2 [J McDonald] —
5 [C S Shum] —