沙田 · 2024-12-22 · 08:15
第 7場
2024-12-22沙田第7場，Class 3，途程1200米。由J McDonald策騎、C W Chang訓練的LADY'S CHOICE勝出，贏出1-1/4。GOKO WIN獲得亞軍；LUCKY EIGHT獲得季軍。5.4倍大熱門YOUNG SUPERSTAR跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LADY'S CHOICE H-/B 1.08.77 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J McDonald · C W Chang | J McDonald | C W Chang | 1 | 7.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | GOKO WIN B A Pouchin · D J Whyte | A Pouchin | D J Whyte | 3 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | LUCKY EIGHT C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 10 | 6.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 13 | MAGNIFICENT NINE B/E A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 9 | 6.6 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | GREAT STATE TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 11 | 54.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 5.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | SUGAR BALL CP2/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 5 | 7.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | SEASONS WIT B/TT- H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 14 | 78.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | KARATE EXPRESS K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 8 | 20.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | RIDING TOGETHER XB1 Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 4 | 6.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | AURORA PATCH B1 A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 13 | 24.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 14 | DASHING DRAGON B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 7 | 174.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | ALSONSO CP1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 11.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | BUNTA BABY CP/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 12 | 124.0 | 11-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | YOUNG SUPERSTAR | 19.1% | 5.23 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | RIDING TOGETHER | 11.8% | 8.48 | 10 |
| 3 | 6 | ALSONSO | 11.1% | 9.04 | 13 |
| 4 | 12 | KARATE EXPRESS | 10.6% | 9.46 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | LADY'S CHOICE | 9.2% | 10.86 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | SUGAR BALL | 9.0% | 11.08 | 7 |
| 7 | 13 | MAGNIFICENT NINE | 8.9% | 11.29 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | SEASONS WIT | 4.3% | 23.17 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | GOKO WIN | 4.0% | 24.71 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | AURORA PATCH | 3.9% | 25.42 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | LUCKY EIGHT | 3.5% | 28.35 | 3 |
| 12 | 9 | GREAT STATE | 2.0% | 50.30 | 5 |
| 13 | 10 | BUNTA BABY | 1.7% | 59.81 | 14 |
| 14 | 14 | DASHING DRAGON | 0.9% | 110.70 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 74
PLACE
3 25.5
4 24.5
11 38
QUINELLA
3,11 454.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 95.5
3,11 157
4,11 180.5
FORECAST
3,11 903
TIERCE
3,11,4 6,901
TRIO
3,4,11 1,204
FIRST 4
3,4,11,13 1,725
QUARTET
3,11,4,13 44,501
全部彩池（另 1 項）
6TH DOUBLE
2/3 393.5
2/11 255