沙田 · 2024-12-22 · 05:50
第 3場
2024-12-22沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米。由J McDonald策騎、C S Shum訓練的SUPER LEGENDS勝出，贏出3/4。CITY THUNDER獲得亞軍；GROOVY FEELING獲得季軍。2.7倍大熱門CITY THUNDER跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPER LEGENDS B2/TT 1.09.04 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 5 | 5.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | CITY THUNDER TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 2.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | GROOVY FEELING TT1 B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 3 | 93.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 14 | FORTUNE WHISKEY XB-/B/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 12 | 24.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | SPIRIT OF PEACE A Pouchin · J Size | A Pouchin | J Size | 9 | 8.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | ISLAND BUDDY B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 11 | 15.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | PATCH OF STARS B1/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 8 | 7.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | LUCKY IMPACT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 33.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | METRO WARRIOR B M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 14 | 69.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | EXCEED THE WISH H1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 7 | 70.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 3 | HAYDAY H-/XB- M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 1 | 8.9 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | SPICY SPANGLE TT P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 2 | 9.8 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 9 | SOMETHING JONAH B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 13 | 67.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 8 | PERPETUAL POWER C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 158.0 | 8-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPER LEGENDS | 21.0% | 4.76 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | CITY THUNDER | 15.3% | 6.54 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | SPIRIT OF PEACE | 13.5% | 7.43 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | HAYDAY | 10.6% | 9.42 | 11 |
| 5 | 13 | SPICY SPANGLE | 8.9% | 11.25 | 12 |
| 6 | 7 | PATCH OF STARS | 6.5% | 15.46 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | LUCKY IMPACT | 4.3% | 23.34 | 8 |
| 8 | 11 | ISLAND BUDDY | 4.1% | 24.26 | 6 |
| 9 | 9 | SOMETHING JONAH | 3.3% | 30.06 | 13 |
| 10 | 8 | PERPETUAL POWER | 3.2% | 31.44 | 14 |
| 11 | 4 | METRO WARRIOR | 2.8% | 35.83 | 9 |
| 12 | 14 | FORTUNE WHISKEY | 2.7% | 37.20 | 4 |
| 13 | 6 | GROOVY FEELING | 2.4% | 41.57 | 3 |
| 14 | 5 | EXCEED THE WISH | 1.5% | 67.54 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 54
PLACE
1 17.5
2 14
6 214.5
QUINELLA
1,2 80
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 31.5
1,6 749.5
2,6 439
FORECAST
1,2 211
TIERCE
1,2,6 11,938
TRIO
1,2,6 2,337
FIRST 4
1,2,6,14 9,278
QUARTET
1,2,6,14 155,475
全部彩池（另 1 項）
2ND DOUBLE
1/1 412
1/2 46